Thursday , 2 July 2026

Northampton Town FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Northampton Town FC vs Luton Town FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Northampton Town FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
21 Oct Reading FC A 0–1 L
18 Oct Doncaster Rovers FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Rotherham United FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Port Vale FC A 0–0 D
27 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Northampton Town FC A 1–0 W
18 Oct Mansfield Town FC H 0–2 L
04 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Blackpool FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Northampton Town FC Luton Town FC
#24 Position #7
35 Points 74
46 Played 46
9 / 8 / 29 W / D / L 21 / 11 / 14
39 Scored 68
74 Conceded 56
-35 GD +12
0.76 PPG 1.61
20% Win % 46%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Northampton Town FC are 24th (35 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Northampton Town FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.81 Northampton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Northampton Town FC25% Draw30% Luton Town FC45%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Northampton Town FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Luton Town FC
75%
Northampton Town FC or Luton Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Northampton Town FC15% Draw51% Luton Town FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Northampton Town FC

Handicap Northampton Town FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 14% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 25% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.