Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Northampton Town FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Northampton Town FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Northampton Town FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
21 Oct Reading FC A 0–1 L
18 Oct Doncaster Rovers FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Rotherham United FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Port Vale FC A 0–0 D
27 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Northampton Town FC A 1–0 W
18 Oct Mansfield Town FC H 0–2 L
04 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Blackpool FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 4 G 1 A
Kasey Palmer 2 G 2 A
Callum Marshall 2 G
Jake Richards 1 G 1 A
Gideon Kodua 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Northampton Town FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1 Northampton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Northampton Town FC or Luton Town FC 67% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Northampton Town FC33% Draw33% Luton Town FC34%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Northampton Town FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Luton Town FC
67%
Northampton Town FC or Luton Town FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Northampton Town FC22% Draw54% Luton Town FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Northampton Town FC

Handicap Northampton Town FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.