Sunday , 4 October 2026

Netherlands vs France, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Women's Euro · 2025
Netherlands
2 – 5
Full Time
France
Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 19:00 UTC St. Jakob-Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Victoria Pelova 35' Y
Jackie Groenen 45' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Netherlands vs France — UEFA Womens Euro at St. Jakob-Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ivana Martincic (Croatia)
4 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Norway 3 9
2 Switzerland 3 4
3 Finland 3 4
4 Iceland 3 0
5 Spain 3 9
6 Italy 3 4
7 Belgium 3 3
8 Portugal 3 1
9 Sweden 3 9
10 Germany 3 6
11 Poland 3 3
12 Denmark 3 0
13 France 3 9
14 England 3 6
15 Netherlands 3 3
16 Wales 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
Netherlands 1 games · Avg 7.0 goals France
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-13 Netherlands 2–5 France

Recent Form

Netherlands
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul France H 2–5 L
09 Jul England A 0–4 L
05 Jul Wales A 3–0 W
11 Aug Spain A 1–2 L
06 Aug South Africa H 2–0 W
01 Aug Vietnam A 7–0 W
France
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Netherlands A 5–2 W
09 Jul Wales H 4–1 W
05 Jul England H 2–1 W
12 Aug Australia A 6–7 L
08 Aug Morocco H 4–0 W
02 Aug Panama A 6–3 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Netherlands this season
0% Clean Sheets
France this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Netherlands
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
France
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Netherlands
Victoria Pelova 2 G 1 A
Esmee Brugts 1 G
Vivianne Miedema 1 G
France
Delphine Cascarino 2 G 2 A
Marie-Antoinette Katoto 2 G 1 A
Grace Geyoro 2 G
Clara Mateo 1 G 2 A
Kadidiatou Diani 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Netherlands have kicked off against France. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alice Sombath suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with France winning 100% of all matches.
  • 15' Dominique Janssen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for France tonight.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marie-Antoinette Katoto made 9 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 22' France is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sandie Toletti on 22.
  • 26' What a moment for Victoria Pelova! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Netherlands side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Victoria Pelova.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' Selma Bacha does the damage! The net is bulging and France surge ahead!
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Jackie Groenen.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' France is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' France manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Grace Geyoro is hanging Sandie Toletti on the field on 59 minute.
  • 61' Brilliant from the ! Marie-Antoinette Katoto makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 61.
  • 64' GOAL! Delphine Cascarino scores on 64.
  • 67' Delphine Cascarino adds to his 2 season tally! France lead 1-5 — and this changes everything.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Netherlands! Esmee Brugts comes on to replace Chasity Grant.
  • 71' Delphine Cascarino makes way for Kadidiatou Diani at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from France.
  • 76' A quiet spell here at St. Jakob-Park. Netherlands seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 79' It is a substitution in France team. Alice Sombath is replaced by Melween N'Dongala on 79 minute.
  • 84' Another substitution for Netherlands to replace Sherida Spitse by Caitlin Dijkstra on 84 minute.
  • 89' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Netherlands — Renate Jansen on, Victoria Pelova off on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. Netherlands and France share the spoils 2-5.

Lineups

Netherlands Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Andries Jonker

France Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Laurent Bonadei

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 Netherlands xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.93 France xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Netherlands28% Draw21% France51%
Actual: France win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 70%
30%
± 4.5 53%
47%

Double Chance

Netherlands or Draw
49%
Draw or France
72%
Netherlands or France
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Netherlands23% Draw33% France44%
Actual: Netherlands win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–5 not predicted
2 – 5
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 3
5.8%
1 – 1
5%
1 – 4
4.4%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 4
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Netherlands

Handicap Netherlands covers Push France covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 7% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 12% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 18% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 16% 23%
+2.5 77% — 23%

Clean Sheet

Netherlands keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
France keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.