Thursday , 2 July 2026

Moreirense FC vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 17:00 UTC Estadio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas 1,472 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bernardo Martins 21' 1–0
Marcelo 55' 2–0
2–1 76' Felix Bacher
2–2 80' Alejandro Marques

Overview

Match Preview

Moreirense FC vs GD Estoril PraiaPrimeira Liga at Estadio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
02 May FC Porto A 1–3 L
27 Apr CD Nacional H 1–1 D
18 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–3 L
13 Apr Rio Ave FC H 0–2 L
06 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Moreirense FC A 2–2 D
03 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
29 Apr Casa Pia AC A 3–1 W
19 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–2 L
12 Apr FC Famalicão A 0–3 L
04 Apr AVS A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Moreirense FC GD Estoril Praia
#7 Position #10
43 Points 39
34 Played 34
12 / 7 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
37 Scored 54
49 Conceded 57
-12 GD -3
1.26 PPG 1.15
35% Win % 29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season

Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Moreirense FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
1/6
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59 Moreirense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for: Moreirense FC or GD Estoril Praia 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Moreirense FC39% Draw25% GD Estoril Praia36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Moreirense FC or Draw
64%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
61%
Moreirense FC or GD Estoril Praia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Moreirense FC27% Draw42% GD Estoril Praia31%
Actual: Moreirense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Moreirense FC

Handicap Moreirense FC covers Push GD Estoril Praia covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
19%
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.