Saturday , 14 November 2026

Morecambe FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sun 1 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Mazuma Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Burton Albion FC H 5–0 W
29 Dec Accrington Stanley FC H 2–0 W
26 Dec Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
17 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
02 Dec Exeter City FC H 1–1 D
19 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Morecambe FC A 0–5 L
29 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–1 W
26 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
10 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Dec Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burton Albion FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Morecambe FC in their trying to find a way past Burton Albion FC's compact .
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Victor Adeboyejo made 396 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mustapha Carayol suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Morecambe FC have won 108 goals from 98 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 32' The deadlock is broken! Kieran Phillips gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 385 games and scored 434 goals.
  • 42' Morecambe FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' The England Jensen Weir breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-0!
  • 46' Cole Stockton makes way for Caleb Watts at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Morecambe FC.
  • 51' Caleb Watts has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 51 minutes.
  • 55' The deadlock is broken! Kieran Phillips gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
  • 57' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Mustapha Carayol comes on to replace Tyler Onyango.
  • 62' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 66' It’s a booking for Morecambe FC player. Caleb Watts gets a Yellow card.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Bobby Kamwa is replaced by Davis Keillor-Dunn.
  • 74' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adam Mayor, as he is very good at scoring at Mazuma Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 75' Burton Albion FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 75.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Kieran Phillips as he leaves the pitch. Arthur Gnahoua steps in for Morecambe FC.
  • 77' The Burton Albion FC bench stirs into life. Adrian Mariappa is withdrawn and Joe Dodoo gets his opportunity.
  • 80' The whistle greets Jensen Weir as he departs to be replaced by Donald Love.
  • 83' A stunning finish from Caleb Watts — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' The Morecambe FC manager makes a substitution. Adam Mayor departs to be replaced by Dylan Connolly.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • With this win, Morecambe FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Morecambe FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Morecambe FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Morecambe FC60% Draw23% Burton Albion FC17%
Actual: Morecambe FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Morecambe FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
40%
Morecambe FC or Burton Albion FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Morecambe FC46% Draw42% Burton Albion FC12%
Actual: Morecambe FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Morecambe FC

Handicap Morecambe FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Morecambe FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.