Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Tue 20 Oct 2020 · 18:45 UTC The Den HT 45+6' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Referee Graham Kane
  • Referee Mark Russell
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
17 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
03 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
26 Sep Brentford FC H 1–1 D
19 Sep Rotherham United FC A 1–0 W
12 Sep Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Millwall FC A 0–2 L
17 Oct Stoke City FC H 0–2 L
03 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
26 Sep Watford FC A 0–1 L
19 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
12 Sep Barnsley FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds The Den will turn into a battlefield for Millwall FC and Luton Town FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 10' Scotland international Murray Wallace has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Luton Town FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Pelly Ruddock is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 35' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 38' Ryan Leonard is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 43' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 49' Goal! Martin Cranie scores his 3 goal in 366 matches.
  • 54' It’s high time Gary Rowett made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' Jordan Clark has been relatively quiet despite scoring 34 goals in his last 231 appearances.
  • 60' The referee has no hesitation. Ryan Woods is booked for Millwall FC — Yellow card on 60.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCJoe Morrell on, Luke Berry off on 60 minutes.
  • 64' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Matt Smith by Scott Malone on 64 minute.
  • 66' Luton Town FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 69' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Danny Hylton has done his job and it is now time for Elliot Lee to step up.
  • 74' Connor Mahoney has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 79' Assisted by Ryan Leonard with the perfectly-timed delivery and Connor Mahoney makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 80' Kenneth Zohore gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Mason Bennett and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Ben Thompson is replacing Connor Mahoney for the Millwall FC side.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCGeorge Moncur on, Matthew Pearson off on 87 minutes.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Millwall FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC54% Draw27% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Luton Town FC
46%
Millwall FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC35% Draw51% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.1%
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
48%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.