Sunday , 16 August 2026

Mantova 1911 SSD vs Brescia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 13:00 UTC Danilo Martelli 10,307 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mantova 1911 SSD vs Brescia CalcioSerie B at Danilo Martelli.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Vittorio Di Gioia
  • Assistant 2 Simone Biffi (Italy)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Mantova 1911 SSD 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Brescia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Brescia Calcio H 1–1 D
29 Sep AC Cesena A 2–4 L
22 Sep AS Cittadella H 1–0 W
14 Sep SSC Bari A 0–2 L
01 Sep US Salernitana 1919 H 1–0 W
28 Aug SS Juve Stabia A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Mantova 1911 SSD A 1–1 D
30 Sep US Cremonese H 3–2 W
21 Sep AC Pisa 1909 A 1–2 L
14 Sep Frosinone Calcio H 4–0 W
31 Aug FC Südtirol A 2–1 W
27 Aug AC Reggiana A 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Danilo Martelli. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Lorenzo Dickmann has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Davide Bragantini needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 32' Riccardo Fogliata is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dimitri Bisoli at the 32 minute mark.
  • 37' It looks surprising Brescia Calcio does not make any changes. Fabrizio Paghera has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 42' The 25-year-old Francesco Ruocco has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' The Mantova 1911 SSD manager makes a substitution. Davide Bragantini departs to be replaced by Francesco Galuppini.
  • 49' GOAL! Gennaro Borrelli scores on 49.
  • 54' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Mantova 1911 SSD and Brescia Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' Brescia Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 64' Davide Adorni picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriele Moncini, as he is very good at scoring at Danilo Martelli with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' Gabriele Moncini is replacing Gennaro Borrelli for the Brescia Calcio side.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Mantova 1911 SSDDavid Wieser on, Federico Artioli off on 76 minutes.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Brescia Calcio. Matthias Verreth is replaced by Fabrizio Paghera.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Mantova 1911 SSD. Davis Mensah is replaced by Alessandro De Benedetti.
  • 80' Tommaso Maggioni makes way for Mattia Aramu at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mantova 1911 SSD.
  • 82' The Italy Alessandro De Benedetti breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 1-1!
  • 84' A moment of madness from Mattia Aramu on 84 minutes earns him a card. Mantova 1911 SSD will be frustrated.
  • 89' Mantova 1911 SSD are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Simone Trimboli is booked for Mantova 1911 SSD — card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 Mantova 1911 SSD xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Brescia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Mantova 1911 SSD or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Mantova 1911 SSD41% Draw31% Brescia Calcio28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Mantova 1911 SSD or Draw
72%
Draw or Brescia Calcio
59%
Mantova 1911 SSD or Brescia Calcio
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Mantova 1911 SSD28% Draw52% Brescia Calcio20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Mantova 1911 SSD

Handicap Mantova 1911 SSD covers Push Brescia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Mantova 1911 SSD keeps clean sheet
39%
Brescia Calcio keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.