Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Mansfield Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:00 UTC One Call Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Ryan Sweeney 2' 1–0
Lucas Akins 23' 2–0
Lucas Akins 26' 3–0
3–1 61' Isaak Davies
Rhys Oates 63' 4–1
4–2 66' Omari Kellyman
Oliver Irow 79' 5–2
5–3 86' Ronan Kpakio
5–4 90+3' Omari Kellyman

Overview

Match Preview

Mansfield Town FC vs Cardiff City FC — League One at One Call Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Malton (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Aylott

Head-to-Head

1
1
Mansfield Town FC 2 games · Avg 6.0 goals Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Cardiff City FC H 5–4 W
28 Apr Peterborough United FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 4–1 W
21 Apr Stockport County FC A 1–0 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
14 Apr Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Mansfield Town FC A 4–5 L
25 Apr Northampton Town FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Port Vale FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Reading FC A 3–1 W
14 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
11 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mansfield Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mansfield Town FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mansfield Town FC
Nathan Moriah-Welsh 2 G 2 A
Jonathan Russell 2 G 1 A
Michael Smith 2 G
Louis Reed 2 G
Rhys Oates 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Mansfield Town FC have kicked off against Cardiff City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 2' Brilliant from the ! Ryan Sweeney makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 2.
  • 7' Mansfield Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 12' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 17' Mansfield Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
  • 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 23' Lucas Akins adds to his 1 season tally! Mansfield Town FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 26' Lucas Akins doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 31' Mansfield Town FC are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 36' Louis Reed is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cardiff City FC so far.
  • 41' David Turnbull is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cardiff City FC tonight.
  • 46' Mansfield Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Cardiff City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Goal! Isaak Davies scores his 19 goal in 380 matches.
  • 63' Rhys Oates doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 65' A moment of madness from Omari Kellyman on 65 minutes earns him a card. Cardiff City FC will be frustrated.
  • 66' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Omari Kellyman makes it 4-2.
  • 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Brian Barry-Murphy might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 79' Magnificent from Oliver Irow! That is 5 goals in 116 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 82' Regan Hendry catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 86' Magnificent from Ronan Kpakio! That is 1 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Oliver Irow on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Mansfield Town FC to claim maximum points.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23 Mansfield Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mansfield Town FC44% Draw21% Cardiff City FC35%
Actual: Mansfield Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Mansfield Town FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
56%
Mansfield Town FC or Cardiff City FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mansfield Town FC32% Draw36% Cardiff City FC32%
Actual: Mansfield Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Mansfield Town FC

Handicap Mansfield Town FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 17% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 17% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Mansfield Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.