Monday , 10 August 2026

Málaga CF vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Málaga CF
2 – 1
Full Time
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Eder Mallo Fernandez (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruña 42 77
3 UD Almería 42 75
4 Málaga CF 42 73
5 UD Las Palmas 42 73
6 CD Castellon 42 72
7 Burgos CF 42 72
8 SD Eibar 42 67
9 Real Sporting de Gijon 42 61
10 Cordoba CF 42 61
11 Albacete Balompie 42 59
12 AD Ceuta FC 42 59
13 Andorra CF 42 58
14 Granada CF 42 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 47
16 CD Leganes 42 46
17 Real Valladolid CF 42 46
18 Cadiz CF 42 43
19 CD Mirandés 42 40
20 SD Huesca 42 38
21 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 36

Head-to-Head

2
Málaga CF 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals AD Ceuta FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-11 Málaga CF 2–1 AD Ceuta FC

Recent Form

Málaga CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AD Ceuta FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Real Sporting de Gijon A 3–1 W
21 Dec UD Almería H 2–1 W
14 Dec Albacete Balompie A 3–1 W
08 Dec Real Zaragoza H 1–1 D
29 Nov Real Valladolid CF A 1–1 D
AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Málaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W
14 Dec UD Las Palmas H 1–1 D
07 Dec Granada CF A 1–1 D
29 Nov Burgos CF H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Málaga CF AD Ceuta FC
#4 Position #12
73 Points 59
42 Played 42
21 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 16 / 11 / 15
75 Scored 49
52 Conceded 62
+23 GD -13
1.74 PPG 1.40
50% Win % 38%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 12th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Malaga CF and AD Ceuta FC get this one started.
  • With this win, Malaga CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.07 Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Málaga CF57% Draw23% AD Ceuta FC20%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw
80%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
43%
Málaga CF or AD Ceuta FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Málaga CF42% Draw41% AD Ceuta FC17%
Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap Málaga CF covers Push AD Ceuta FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.