Lille OSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
- Referee Nicolas Danos
- Referee Florent Batta
- Referee Franck Schneider
- Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | SM Caen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Olympique de Marseille | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | FC Girondins de Bordeaux | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | FC Nantes | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | Lille OSC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Oct | Olympique de Marseille | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Amiens SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Montpellier HSC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
Lille OSC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Lille OSC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Lille OSC
| Olivier Giroud | 3 G | 2 A |
| Dilane Bakwa | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 G | |
| Tiago Santos | 2 G | |
| Ethan Mbappe | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Lille OSC vs SM Caen — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Lille OSC and SM Caen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Lille OSC in their trying to find a way past SM Caen's compact .
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Lille OSC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SM Caen backline.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 26' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Emmanuel Imorou.
- 31' Prince Oniangue has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 33' Controversy at the stadium! Prince Oniangue argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mike Maignan suffering a number of foals already.
- 39' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Emmanuel Imorou by Adama Mbengue on 39 minute.
- 44' Jonathan Bamba has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jose Fonte, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 54' Lille OSC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Magnificent from Rafael Leao! That is 79 goals in 477 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 58' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Casimir Ninga is replaced by Enzo Crivelli on 58 minute.
- 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Frederic Guilbert made 399 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 67' The whistle greets Rafael Leao as he departs to be replaced by Rui Fonte.
- 70' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Jessy Deminguet exits the field as Saif-Eddine Khaoui enters on 70.
- 75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 82' Time for substitution for Lille OSC. Jonathan Ikone is replaced by Jeremy Pied.
- 87' The home supporters are growing impatient. Lille OSC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 90' The crowd applauds Nicolas Pepe as he leaves the pitch. Kouadio Yves Dabila steps in for Lille OSC.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Lille OSC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
12
Jonathan Ikone ↓ Jeremy Pied 82'
- 16
- 5
- 23
- 25
-
19
Nicolas Pepe ↓ Yves Dabila 90'
- 14
- 8
-
7
Rafael Leao ↓ Rui Fonte 67'
- 17
Bench
-
10
Rui Fonte ↑ 67'
-
26
Jeremy Pied ↑ 82'
- 1
-
22
Yves Dabila ↑ 90'
- 20
- 24
- 11
Coach
Christophe Galtier
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 10
- 30
- 24
- 21
- 17
-
11
Casimir Ninga ↓ Enzo Crivelli 58'
- 2
- 6
-
15
Emmanuel Imorou ↓ Adama Mbengue 39'
- 12
Bench
- 14
-
7
Saif-Eddine Khaoui ↑ 70'
-
22
Adama Mbengue ↑ 39'
- 3
- 8
-
27
Enzo Crivelli ↑ 58'
- 1
Coach
Fabien Mercadal
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Nicolas Pepe | 1 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
| Casimir Ninga | 1 |
Head to Head
Lille OSC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44
Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lille OSC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Lille OSC or Draw
84%
Draw or SM Caen
43%
Lille OSC or SM Caen
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Lille OSC
| Handicap | Lille OSC covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

