Saturday , 14 November 2026

KAA Gent vs Royal Excel Mouscron, Jupiler League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Jupiler Pro League · 2020-21
Mon 15 Feb 2021 · 19:45 UTC GHELAMCO-arena HT 45+1' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

KAA Gent vs Royal Excel Mouscron — Jupiler League at GHELAMCO-arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bram Van Driessche
  • Referee Kevin Van Damme
  • Referee Wim Smet
  • Referee Jordy Vermeire
  • Referee Tom Vanpoucke
  • Referee
  • Referee Michael Geerolf
6 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 18.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Royal Excel Mouscron H 4–0 W
07 Feb KAS Eupen H 2–2 D
31 Jan RSC Anderlecht A 0–0 D
27 Jan K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–1 D
24 Jan Oud-Heverlee Leuven A 3–0 W
21 Jan KRC Genk A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb KAA Gent A 0–4 L
05 Feb KV Kortrijk H 0–3 L
30 Jan KAS Eupen A 1–1 D
26 Jan RSC Anderlecht H 1–1 D
23 Jan K. Sint-Truidense VV A 2–0 W
19 Jan KV RS Waasland-SK Beveren H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
KAA Gent this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

KAA Gent
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against KAA Gent and Royal Excel Mouscron has kicked off!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Harlem-Eddy Gnohere has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Royal Excel Mouscron fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' Roman Yaremchuk adds to his 2 season tally! KAA Gent lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hein Vanhaezebrouck will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Time for substitution for Royal Excel Mouscron. Matias Silvestre is replaced by Christophe Lepoint.
  • 51' Dino Arslanagic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 311 appearances.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' Imad Faraj makes way for Serge Tabekou at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Royal Excel Mouscron.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. KAA Gent must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 65' Saad Agouzoul has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
  • 66' Fresh legs for KAA Gent! Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe comes on to replace Roman Bezus.
  • 70' Tarik Tissoudali has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 71' Fabrice Olinga is replacing Beni Badibanga for the Royal Excel Mouscron side.
  • 76' The 29-year-old Alessio Castro-Montes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Nurio Fortuna. He replaces Milad Mohammadi on 81 minute.
  • 85' Roman Yaremchuk makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and KAA Gent are in front.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Elisha Owusu.
  • 89' Elisha Owusu picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' Sven Kums makes way for Matisse Samoise at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from KAA Gent.
  • With this win, KAA Gent is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 KAA Gent xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Royal Excel Mouscron xG
I would bet for: KAA Gent to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KAA Gent56% Draw24% Royal Excel Mouscron20%
Actual: KAA Gent win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

KAA Gent or Draw
80%
Draw or Royal Excel Mouscron
44%
KAA Gent or Royal Excel Mouscron
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KAA Gent39% Draw45% Royal Excel Mouscron16%
Actual: KAA Gent win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — KAA Gent

Handicap KAA Gent covers Push Royal Excel Mouscron covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Royal Excel Mouscron keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.