Júbilo Iwata vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Júbilo Iwata

2 – 1

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 39' Yasuki Kimoto

Y 76' Takahiro Ko

R 77' Yasuki Kimoto

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Júbilo Iwata 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-30 Júbilo Iwata 2–1 FC Tōkyō 2024-06-16 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Júbilo Iwata 2022-07-17 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-05-14 Júbilo Iwata 2–1 FC Tōkyō 2019-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 0–1 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

Júbilo Iwata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	FC Tōkyō	H	2–1	W
16 Nov	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	3–4	L
09 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–4	L
01 Nov	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
19 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
06 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–2	L
09 Nov	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–3	L
03 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	H	0–2	L
18 Oct	Vissel Kobe	A	2–0	W
05 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
28 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	3–1	W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

85% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

7/1

46-60

8/1

61-75

10/–

76+

7/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	8 G	3 A
Marcelo Ryan	5 G	2 A
Dani Gomez	5 G
Soma Anzai	5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa	4 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Jubilo Iwata have kicked off against FC Tōkyō. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jordy Croux made 174 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' Soma Anzai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tōkyō so far.
15' Ryotaro Araki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 458 appearances.
20' Yasuki Kimoto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' Jubilo Iwata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tōkyō's shape.
30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
35' A quiet spell here at Yamaha Stadium. FC Tōkyō seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
39' Yasuki Kimoto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Peter Cklamovski might look to freshen things up shortly.
46' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 46 minute. Diego Oliveira leaves to be changed by Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
53' A stunning finish from Soma Anzai — that came from absolutely nowhere!
56' Rikiya Uehara gets the nod from Jubilo Iwata. He replaces Shun Nakamura and will look to change the dynamic.
61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akinobu Yokouchi will be considering his options from the bench.
63' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Rei Hirakawa is replaced by Hiroki Yamada.
66' Kota Tawaratsumida gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Ryotaro Araki and will look to change the dynamic.
71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Jubilo Iwata and FC Tōkyō are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Takahiro Ko.
77' Yasuki Kimoto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
79' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teppei Oka is hanging Teruhito Nakagawa on the field on 79 minute.
80' Matheus Peixoto does the damage! The net is bulging and Jubilo Iwata surge ahead!
85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
89' Hiroki Yamada adds to his 0 season tally! Jubilo Iwata lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
90' The whistle greets Hotaka Nakamura as he departs to be replaced by Leon Nozawa.
The points are shared — Jubilo Iwata 2-1 FC Tōkyō. Honours even.

Lineups

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Kei Koizumi 79'
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa 46'
22
Keita Endo
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↓ Teppei Oka 79'
8
Takahiro Ko
4
Yasuki Kimoto
41
Taishi Nozawa
2
Hotaka Nakamura ↓ Leon Nozawa 90'
71
Ryotaro Araki ↓ Kota Tawaratsumida 66'
44
Henrique Trevisan
38
Soma Anzai

Bench

99
Kosuke Shirai
37
Kei Koizumi ↑ 79'
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 79'
11
Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa ↑ 46'
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↑ 66'
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 90'

Coach Peter Cklamovski

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Soma Anzai	2
Fozil Musayev	1
Ricardo Graca	1
Adailton	1
Matheus Peixoto	1
Fozil Musayev	1
Hiroki Yamada	1
Takefusa Kubo	1

Head to Head

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-11-30 Júbilo Iwata 2–1 FC Tōkyō W 2024-11-16 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka L 2024-11-01 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-10-19 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

FC Tōkyō Form

2024-11-30 Júbilo Iwata 2–1 FC Tōkyō L 2024-11-09 FC Machida Zelvia 3–0 FC Tōkyō L 2024-11-03 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-10-18 Vissel Kobe 0–2 FC Tōkyō W 2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-09-28 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–3 FC Tōkyō W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.5 Júbilo Iwata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.4 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Júbilo Iwata or FC Tōkyō 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Júbilo Iwata42% Draw27% FC Tōkyō31%

Actual: Júbilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw

68%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

58%

Júbilo Iwata or FC Tōkyō

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Júbilo Iwata29% Draw45% FC Tōkyō26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.8%

1 – 0

7.3%

0 – 0

7.3%

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 0

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap	Júbilo Iwata covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	19%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	18%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.