Iceland vs Poland, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Iceland Lineups
Poland Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Iceland Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.78 Iceland xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.51 Poland xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Iceland winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.29Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 84% 16% ± 2.5 63% 37% ± 3.5 41% 59% ± 4.5 24% 76% Double Chance
Iceland or Draw 71%Draw or Poland 54%Iceland or Poland 76%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Iceland win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 10.9%2 – 1 8.6%1 – 2 7.3%2 – 2 6.4%1 – 0 5.9%2 – 0 5.9%0 – 0 5.3%3 – 1 Actual0 – 1 4.9%0 – 2 4.2%3 – 2 3.9%1 – 3 3.6%Asian Handicap — Iceland
Handicap Iceland covers Push Poland covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 13% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 20% 57% -0.5 43% — 57% +0.5 68% — 32% +1 68% 16% 15% +1.5 85% — 15% +2 85% 9% 6% +2.5 94% — 6% Clean Sheet
Iceland keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Poland keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.