Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Houston Dynamo

2 – 1

Full Time

New England Revolution

Thu 3 Oct 2024 · 00:30 UTC Shell Energy Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Daniel Steres 7' Y

Y 68' Peyton Miller

Ezequiel Ponce 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.

Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Houston Dynamo 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-03 Houston Dynamo 2–1 New England Revolution 2023-03-05 New England Revolution 3–0 Houston Dynamo 2022-09-14 Houston Dynamo 3–1 New England Revolution 2019-06-29 New England Revolution 2–1 Houston Dynamo 2018-04-01 Houston Dynamo 0–2 New England Revolution

Recent Form

Houston Dynamo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
29 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–1	L
22 Sep	Austin FC	A	1–0	W
19 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–1	D
15 Sep	Real Salt Lake	H	4–1	W
08 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	0–0	D

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Houston Dynamo	A	1–2	L
28 Sep	Nashville SC	H	1–0	W
21 Sep	Charlotte FC	A	0–4	L
18 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–2	D
14 Sep	Orlando City SC	A	0–3	L
07 Sep	St. Louis City	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Houston Dynamo		New England Revolution
#20	Position	#3
44	Points	46
27	Played	27
13 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	14 / 4 / 9
34	Scored	45
32	Conceded	36
+2	GD	+9
1.63	PPG	1.70
48%	Win %	52%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

41% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

26% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts). New England Revolution are 3rd (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Houston Dynamo

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

7/4

46-60

5/3

61-75

5/3

76+

3/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

4/3

16-30

2/2

31-45

7/5

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/4

76+

10/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme

14 G

6 A

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	12 G	4 A
Dor Turgeman	7 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' Houston Dynamo have kicked off against New England Revolution. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
7' That is a card for Houston Dynamo. Daniel Steres will be fuming at that decision.
12' The home supporters are growing impatient. Houston Dynamo must find a spark to ignite this game.
17' New England Revolution come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ian Harkes suffering a number of foals already.
27' Houston Dynamo has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
32' Houston Dynamo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brandon Bye, as he is very good at scoring at Shell Energy Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
46' Houston Dynamo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ezequiel Ponce is hanging Amine Bassi on the field on 46 minute.
50' Ezequiel Ponce makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Houston Dynamo are in front.
54' Carles Gil does the damage! The net is bulging and New England Revolution surge ahead!
59' Peyton Miller has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 6 goals this season.
64' Adalberto Carrasquilla, a Panama , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
68' Erik Sviatchenko doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
68' The referee has no hesitation. Peyton Miller is booked for New England Revolution — card on 68.
73' New England Revolution are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
74' Giacomo Vrioni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bobby Wood on 74 minute.
77' The whistle greets Latif Blessing as he departs to be replaced by Junior Moreno.
78' Matt Polster makes way for Ian Harkes at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from New England Revolution.
83' New England Revolution is showing some good football. However, New England Revolution are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
84' Tim Parker gets the nod from New England Revolution. He replaces Xavier Arreaga and will look to change the dynamic.
87' Tate Schmitt is replacing Daniel Steres for the Houston Dynamo side.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Ezequiel Ponce is booked for Houston Dynamo — card on 90.
90' Houston Dynamo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ethan Bartlow is hanging Franco Escobar on the field on 90 minute.
It finishes all square. Houston Dynamo and New England Revolution share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

Houston Dynamo Lineups

Starting XI

8
Amine Bassi ↓ Ezequiel Ponce 46'
5
Daniel Steres ↓ Tate Schmitt 87'
12
Steve Clark
15
Latif Blessing ↓ Junior Moreno 77'
20
Adalberto Carrasquilla
6
Artur
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Ethan Bartlow 90'
28
Erik Sviatchenko
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk
31
Micael
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↓ Orrin McKinze Gaines II 77'

Bench

Coach Ben Olsen

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Giacomo Vrioni ↑ 74'
21
Nacho Gil ↑ 84'
12
Nick Lima
88
Andrew Farrell
27
Tim Parker ↑ 84'
28
Mark-Anthony Kaye
14
Ian Harkes ↑ 78'
36
Earl Edwards Jr.
18
Emmanuel Boateng ↑ 74'

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Teal Bunbury	2
Fafa Picault	2
Carlos Darwin Quintero	2
Carles Gil	2
Bobby Wood	1
Brandon Bye	1
Cristian Penilla	1
Dylan Borrero	1

Head to Head

Houston Dynamo Form

2024-10-03 Houston Dynamo 2–1 New England Revolution W 2024-09-29 Seattle Sounders FC 1–0 Houston Dynamo L 2024-09-22 Austin FC 0–1 Houston Dynamo W 2024-09-19 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC D 2024-09-15 Houston Dynamo 4–1 Real Salt Lake W 2024-09-08 Houston Dynamo 0–0 Los Angeles FC D

New England Revolution Form

2024-10-03 Houston Dynamo 2–1 New England Revolution L 2024-09-28 New England Revolution 1–0 Nashville SC W 2024-09-21 Charlotte FC 4–0 New England Revolution L 2024-09-18 New England Revolution 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-09-14 Orlando City SC 3–0 New England Revolution L 2024-09-07 New England Revolution 2–2 St. Louis City D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.59 Houston Dynamo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Houston Dynamo49% Draw26% New England Revolution25%

Actual: Houston Dynamo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.74

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Houston Dynamo or Draw

75%

Draw or New England Revolution

51%

Houston Dynamo or New England Revolution

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Houston Dynamo33% Draw46% New England Revolution21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.4%

2 – 0

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo

Handicap	Houston Dynamo covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.