Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

Gamba Osaka

1 – 4

Full Time

Kawasaki Frontale

Sat 5 May 2018 · 17:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale — Primeira Liga .

Gamba Osaka 0 games · 0 pts
Kawasaki Frontale 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kawasaki Frontale

Last 5 meetings

2018-05-05 Gamba Osaka 1–4 Kawasaki Frontale 2018-03-10 Kawasaki Frontale 2–0 Gamba Osaka 2017-12-23 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2017-04-09 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2016-11-27 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–4	L
02 May	Vegalta Sendai	H	1–0	W
29 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W
29 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–2	W
25 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–1	L
22 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	Gamba Osaka	A	4–1	W
02 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–2	L
29 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W
28 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	2–1	W
25 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W
21 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	4–1	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Gamba Osaka host Kawasaki Frontale — let the battle begin!
Another three points for Kawasaki Frontale.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Leandro Damiao	7
Akihiro Ienaga	5
Kosuke Onose	3
Shu Kurata	3
Marcinho	3
Yusuke Segawa	3
Yu Kobayashi	2
Yasuto Wakizaka	2

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2018-05-05 Gamba Osaka 1–4 Kawasaki Frontale L 2018-05-02 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2018-04-29 Gamba Osaka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2018-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 2–3 Gamba Osaka W 2018-04-25 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2018-04-22 Gamba Osaka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2018-05-05 Gamba Osaka 1–4 Kawasaki Frontale W 2018-05-02 Kawasaki Frontale 0–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2018-04-29 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2018-04-28 Vissel Kobe 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2018-04-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2018-04-21 Kawasaki Frontale 4–1 Kashima Antlers W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.25 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Kawasaki Frontale xG

I would bet for: Gamba Osaka or Kawasaki Frontale 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka31% Draw28% Kawasaki Frontale41%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

59%

Draw or Kawasaki Frontale

69%

Gamba Osaka or Kawasaki Frontale

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka23% Draw46% Kawasaki Frontale31%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 2

8.8%

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 0

7.9%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.5%

2 – 0

4.6%

1 – 3

4.6%

0 – 3

3.7%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	16%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	21%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.