Saturday , 14 November 2026

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Alverca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
GD Estoril Praia
4 – 1
Full Time
FC Alverca
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Alverca — Primeira Liga .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

1
1
GD Estoril Praia 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Alverca
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-27 GD Estoril Praia 4–1 FC Alverca

Recent Form

GD Estoril Praia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec FC Alverca H 4–1 W
19 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–0 W
14 Dec FC Famalicão A 0–4 L
07 Dec Moreirense FC H 3–3 D
30 Nov FC Porto A 0–1 L
07 Nov FC Arouca H 4–3 W
FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 1–4 L
22 Dec FC Porto H 0–3 L
14 Dec FC Arouca A 0–1 L
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Nov Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
08 Nov Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

GD Estoril Praia FC Alverca
#18 Position #11
2 Points 12
10 Played 11
0 / 2 / 8 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 5
5 Scored 14
19 Conceded 15
-14 GD -1
0.20 PPG 1.09
0% Win % 27%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
9% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season

GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts). FC Alverca are 11th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/4
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Alverca
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

GD Estoril Praia
Yanis Begraoui 2 G
FC Alverca
Dawda Camara 3 G
Vivaldo Semedo 3 G
Chiquinho 2 G 3 A
Lucas Figueiredo 2 G
Ian Luccas 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 GD Estoril Praia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 FC Alverca xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
GD Estoril Praia50% Draw24% FC Alverca26%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

GD Estoril Praia or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Alverca
50%
GD Estoril Praia or FC Alverca
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
GD Estoril Praia35% Draw41% FC Alverca24%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — GD Estoril Praia

Handicap GD Estoril Praia covers Push FC Alverca covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.