Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fulham FC vs Watford FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
4 – 1
Full Time
Thu 9 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Craven Cottage 15,981 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rodrigo Muniz 26' 1–0
1–1 33' Rocco Vata
Raul Jimenez pen 49' 2–1
Joachim Andersen 65' 3–1
Timothy Castagne 85' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Fulham FC vs Watford FC — FA Cup at Craven Cottage.

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Watford FC H 4–1 W
05 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
29 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
26 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
22 Dec Southampton FC H 0–0 D
14 Dec Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Fulham FC A 1–4 L
04 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Cardiff City FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
21 Dec Burnley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fulham FC gets underway.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 8' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Edo Kayembe.
  • 13' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fulham FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' It looks surprising Fulham FC does not make any changes. Emile Smith Rowe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' GOAL! Rodrigo Muniz fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 31' Another change for Watford FC made on 31 minute. Pierre Dwomoh leaves to be changed by Imran Louza.
  • 33' Rocco Vata does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
  • 38' Jorge Cuenca catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Raul Jimenez gets the nod from Fulham FC. He replaces Rodrigo Muniz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Raul Jimenez makes it 2-1.
  • 54' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fulham FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' The 27-year-old Ryan Porteous has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' Joachim Andersen does the damage! The net is bulging and Fulham FC surge ahead!
  • 66' Another substitution for Fulham FC to replace Joachim Andersen by Issa Diop on 66 minute.
  • 67' Kwadwo Baah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Ince at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 76' Another change for Fulham FC made on 76 minute. Sasa Lukic leaves to be changed by Harrison Reed.
  • 81' Over 81 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 85' The deadlock is broken! Timothy Castagne gets on the scoresheet on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Amin Nabizada has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mamadou Doumbia on 89 minute.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.93 Fulham FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fulham FC53% Draw23% Watford FC24%
Actual: Fulham FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Fulham FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
47%
Fulham FC or Watford FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fulham FC37% Draw42% Watford FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fulham FC

Handicap Fulham FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fulham FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.