Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fulham FC vs Watford FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
4 1
Full Time
Thu 9 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Craven Cottage 15,981 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rodrigo Muniz 26' 1–0
1–1 33' Rocco Vata
Raul Jimenez pen 49' 2–1
Joachim Andersen 65' 3–1
Timothy Castagne 85' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Fulham FC vs Watford FCFA Cup at Craven Cottage.

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Watford FC H 4–1 W
05 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
29 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
26 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
22 Dec Southampton FC H 0–0 D
14 Dec Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Fulham FC A 1–4 L
04 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Cardiff City FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
21 Dec Burnley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Fulham FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Fulham FC have kicked off against Watford FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Rodrigo Muniz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 8' The referee has no hesitation. Edo Kayembe is booked for Watford FC — card on 8.
  • 13' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' Rodrigo Muniz doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 31' Imran Louza is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pierre Dwomoh at the 31 minute mark.
  • 33' Rocco Vata makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Watford FC are in front.
  • 38' Jorge Cuenca catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' Fulham FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's shape.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Fulham FC. Rodrigo Muniz is replaced by Raul Jimenez.
  • 49' Raul Jimenez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 54' The 30-year-old Alex Iwobi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' The Denmark Joachim Andersen breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 3-1!
  • 66' Fulham FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Issa Diop is hanging Joachim Andersen on the field on 66 minute.
  • 67' Tom Ince makes way for Kwadwo Baah at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 72' A quiet spell here at Craven Cottage. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' Fulham FC make a change. Sasa Lukic trudges off to be replaced by Harrison Reed on 76 minutes.
  • 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 85' Timothy Castagne adds to his 0 season tally! Fulham FC lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' Mamadou Doumbia makes way for Amin Nabizada at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Fulham FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.93 Fulham FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fulham FC53% Draw23% Watford FC24%
Actual: Fulham FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Fulham FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
47%
Fulham FC or Watford FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fulham FC37% Draw42% Watford FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fulham FC

Handicap Fulham FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Fulham FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.