Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, 2018

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Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018

Fluminense FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Sao Paulo FC

Sun 29 Apr 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Fluminense FC 0 games · 0 pts
Sao Paulo FC 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

Fluminense FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals Sao Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2018-04-29 Fluminense FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC 2017-10-18 Fluminense FC 3–1 Sao Paulo FC 2017-06-25 Sao Paulo FC 1–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Sao Paulo FC	H	1–1	D
22 Apr	Cruzeiro EC	H	1–0	W
22 Apr	Cruzeiro EC	H	1–0	W
15 Apr	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	1–2	L
15 Apr	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	SC Recife	H	1–2	L

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Fluminense FC	A	1–1	D
22 Apr	Ceará SC	A	0–0	D
22 Apr	Ceará SC	A	0–0	D
17 Apr	Parana Clube	H	1–0	W
16 Apr	Parana Clube	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	EC Bahia	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fluminense FC 1-1 Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
German Cano	4
Agustin Canobbio	3
Reinaldo	3
Brenner	3
Patrick	2
Luciano Neves	2
Luciano	2
Robert Arboleda	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 3

1.2 Fluminense FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Sao Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: Fluminense FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Fluminense FC42% Draw31% Sao Paulo FC27%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.09

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Sao Paulo FC

58%

Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC

69%

Half-Time Result

Fluminense FC28% Draw53% Sao Paulo FC19%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.7%

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

13.6%

0 – 1

9.7%

2 – 0

8.6%

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3.4%

3 – 1

3.2%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap	Fluminense FC covers	Push	Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	23%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.