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EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2018
2 0
Full Time
Thu 22 Nov 2018 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
  • Referee Alex Ang Ribeiro
  • Referee Tatiane Sacilotti Dos Santos Camargo
  • Referee Alberto Poletto Masseira
9 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 7.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
17 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
14 Nov Ceará SC H 2–1 W
11 Nov EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
04 Nov Chapecoense AF H 1–0 W
27 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov EC Bahia A 0–2 L
19 Nov Ceará SC H 0–0 D
14 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
11 Nov SC Recife H 0–0 D
03 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 0–1 L
27 Oct Santos FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#5 Position #4
33 Points 38
22 Played 23
8 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
29 Scored 34
25 Conceded 28
+4 GD +6
1.50 PPG 1.65
36% Win % 43%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 10' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gregore made 329 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' The 33-year-old Marcos Junior has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 50' Bruno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 60' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at . Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 389 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 2-0 the final result. Fluminense FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia57% Draw25% Fluminense FC18%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
82%
Draw or Fluminense FC
43%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia38% Draw47% Fluminense FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
44%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.