FK Ural vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | PFK Sochi | H | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Oct | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | FK Rostov | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Sep | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | FK Ural | A | 4–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | FK Orenburg | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Stadion Centralniy. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 2' Luka Dordevic was booked on 2.
- 7' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PFK Sochi needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 12' The energy levels are beginning to show. Aleksandr Tochilin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Kirill Kravtsov is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 17' Assisted by Luka Dordevic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nikita Burmistrov makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 22' PFK Sochi have won 246 goals from 177 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Ural and PFK Sochi are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 34' Martin Kramaric makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and PFK Sochi are in front.
- 37' Timur Ayupov gets the nod from FK Ural. He replaces Mingiyan Beveev and will look to change the dynamic.
- 38' Brilliant from the ! Andrey Egorychev makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 38.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' It is a substitution in FK Ural team. Igor Dmitriev is replaced by Vladislav Malkevich on 46 minute.
- 51' Igor Dmitriev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Ural tonight.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' The 34-year-old Timofey Margasov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 65' Another substitution for PFK Sochi to replace Martin Kramaric by Miguel Silveira on 65 minute.
- 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilya Pomazun made 398 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 71' FK Ural make a change. Ibrahima Cisse trudges off to be replaced by Ilya Ishkov on 71 minutes.
- 76' The travelling PFK Sochi supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcelo Alves suffering a number of foals already.
- 82' PFK Sochi ring the changes. Luka Dordevic has done his job and it is now time for Ivan Ignatjev to step up.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Timur Ayupov.
- 88' Goal! Ivan Ignatjev scores his 26 goal in 266 matches.
- 90' A tactical swap from PFK Sochi — Vyacheslav Litvinov on, Vanja Drkusic off on 90 minutes.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Ural.
Lineups
FK Ural Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Ibrahima Cisse ↓ Ilya Ishkov 71'
- 1
-
22
Mingiyan Beveev ↓ Timur Ayupov 37'
- 10
- 46
- 9
- 5
- 4
- 16
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 25
-
55
Timur Ayupov ↑ 37'
- 71
- 75
- 7
-
79
Aleksey Kashtanov ↑ 71'
- 42
-
97
Ilya Ishkov ↑ 71'
- 24
- 40
- 77
-
–
Vladislav Malkevich ↑ 46'
Coach
Viktor Goncharenko
PFK Sochi Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
6
Artur Yusupov ↓ Amir Batyrev 82'
-
11
Luka Dordevic ↓ Ivan Ignatjev 82'
- 7
- 27
- 18
- 45
- 33
- 8
- 13
- 17
Bench
-
10
Ivan Ignatjev ↑ 82'
- 71
-
24
Miguel Silveira ↑ 65'
-
84
Vyacheslav Litvinov ↑ 90'
-
34
Timofey Margasov ↑ 82'
- 26
-
28
Amir Batyrev ↑ 82'
- 12
- –
Coach
Aleksandr Tochilin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Christian Noboa | 4 |
| Andrey Egorychev | 2 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Ivelin Popov | 2 |
| Aleksey Kashtanov | 1 |
| Eric Bicfalvi | 1 |
| Moussa Sissako | 1 |
| Nikolay Dimitrov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Ural Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29
FK Ural xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for:
FK Ural or PFK Sochi 72% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFK Sochi win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FK Ural or Draw
62%
Draw or PFK Sochi
67%
FK Ural or PFK Sochi
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Sochi win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Ural
| Handicap | FK Ural covers | Push | PFK Sochi covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FK Ural keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.