FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Dinamo Moskva

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 13:30 UTC VTB Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Diego Laxalt 26' Y

Y 29' Evgeni Morozov

Y 64' Aleksandr Silyanov

Y 72' Ilya Samoshnikov

Fabian Balbuena 83' Y

Roberto Fernandez 87' Y

Y 90' Gerzino Nyamsi

Overview

Match Preview

FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at VTB Arena.

FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2025/26)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Dinamo Moskva 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2023-10-21 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 0–0 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-05-28 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2022-10-22 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–3 FK Dinamo Moskva 2022-05-14 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 3–3 FK Dinamo Moskva

Recent Form

FK Dinamo Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	2–1	W
10 Dec	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	1–1	D
04 Dec	FK Rubin Kazan	H	1–0	W
25 Nov	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	3–2	W
12 Nov	FK Orenburg	H	2–0	W
06 Nov	PFK Sochi	A	3–3	D

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–2	L
08 Dec	FK Ural	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	3–1	W
25 Nov	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	3–3	D
11 Nov	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	2–1	W
05 Nov	FK Spartak Moskva	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Dinamo Moskva		FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#7	Position	#3
45	Points	53
30	Played	30
12 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	14 / 11 / 5
51	Scored	54
40	Conceded	39
+11	GD	+15
1.50	PPG	1.77
40%	Win %	47%

Key Stats

81% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season

23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Dinamo Moskva

0-15

2/–

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Dinamo Moskva to score. At the same time, FK Lokomotiv Moskva does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' FK Lokomotiv Moskva looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Artem Karpukas scoring 1 goals.
12' Assisted by Jorge Carrascal with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bitelo makes no mistake. 1-0!
17' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Lokomotiv Moskva is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
22' FK Dinamo Moskva have won 348 goals from 363 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Diego Laxalt on 26 minutes.
29' Controversy at the stadium! Evgeni Morozov argues furiously but the card stands.
34' FK Lokomotiv Moskva come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
39' Sergey Pinyaev is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Dinamo Moskva so far.
44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
46' Another substitution for FK Lokomotiv Moskva to replace Artem Dzyuba by Timur Suleimanov on 46 minute.
51' The 30-year-old Ilya Lantratov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
56' Rifat Zhemaletdinov, a Russia , has 26 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
58' Denis Makarov does the damage! The net is bulging and FK Dinamo Moskva surge ahead!
63' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
64' Poor challenge from Aleksandr Silyanov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
65' Ilya Samoshnikov is replacing Mario Mitaj for the FK Lokomotiv Moskva side.
70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
72' FK Lokomotiv Moskva receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
73' FK Dinamo Moskva make a change. Denis Makarov trudges off to be replaced by Yaroslav Gladyshev on 73 minutes.
74' The whistle greets Sergey Parshivlyuk as he departs to be replaced by Dmitrii Skopintsev.
77' Vladislav Sarveli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Artem Karpukas at the 77 minute mark.
82' Time for substitution for FK Dinamo Moskva. Bitelo is replaced by Fedor Smolov.
83' Fabian Balbuena picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
84' Goal! Rifat Zhemaletdinov scores his 25 goal in 355 matches.
87' That looks like a foul for a card for Roberto Fernandez.
90' Gerzino Nyamsi was booked on 90.
90' The FK Dinamo Moskva bench stirs into life. Jorge Carrascal is withdrawn and Daniil Fomin gets his opportunity.
Another three points for FK Dinamo Moskva.

Lineups

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

3
Fabian Balbuena
93
Diego Laxalt
31
Igor Leshchuk
2
Eli Dasa
8
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Daniil Fomin 90'
77
Denis Makarov ↓ Yaroslav Gladyshev 73'
70
Konstantin Tyukavin ↓ Vyacheslav Grulev 82'
4
Sergey Parshivlyuk ↓ Dmitrii Skopintsev 74'
6
Roberto Fernandez
24
Luis Chavez
89
Bitelo ↓ Fedor Smolov 82'

Bench

Coach Marcel Licka

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

–
Gerzino Nyamsi
11
Anton Miranchuk ↓ Sergey Pinyaev 46'
7
Artem Dzyuba ↓ Timur Suleimanov 46'
71
Nair Tiknizyan
15
Maksim Glushenkov ↓ Rifat Zhemaletdinov 65'
45
Aleksandr Silyanov
22
Ilya Lantratov
12
Mario Mitaj ↓ Ilya Samoshnikov 65'
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Vladislav Sarveli 77'
85
Evgeni Morozov
6
Dmitry Barinov

Bench

Coach Mikhail Galaktionov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Arsen Zakharian	5
Fedor Smolov	4
Maximilian Philipp	3
Anton Miranchuk	3
Daniil Fomin	3
Aleksei Miranchuk	2
Tin Jedvaj	2
Jan Kuchta	2

Head to Head

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2024-03-03 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva W 2023-12-10 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2023-12-04 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–0 FK Rubin Kazan W 2023-11-25 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–3 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2023-11-12 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg W 2023-11-06 PFK Sochi 3–3 FK Dinamo Moskva D

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form

2024-03-03 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2023-12-08 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2–0 FK Ural W 2023-12-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2023-11-25 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2023-11-11 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2023-11-05 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Spartak Moskva D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.05 FK Dinamo Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Dinamo Moskva50% Draw23% FK Lokomotiv Moskva27%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.67

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw

73%

Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

50%

FK Dinamo Moskva or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Dinamo Moskva36% Draw39% FK Lokomotiv Moskva25%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.7%

2 – 0

5.4%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

4.6%

0 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva

Handicap	FK Dinamo Moskva covers	Push	FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	19%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	15%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.