Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Fakel Voronezh vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 1 Oct 2023 · 11:00 UTC Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Fakel Voronezh vs PFK SochiRFPL at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct PFK Sochi H 2–0 W
25 Sep FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
17 Sep FK Ural A 0–0 D
02 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–3 L
25 Aug FK Krasnodar H 0–0 D
20 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–2 L
23 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–2 L
16 Sep FK Spartak Moskva H 0–1 L
03 Sep FK Orenburg A 0–3 L
27 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
19 Aug FK Rostov H 4–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' Vyacheslav Litvinov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 4.
  • 9' Andrey Mendel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 14' It’s high time Aleksandr Tochilin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 29' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Fakel Voronezh side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christian Noboa on 32 minutes.
  • 37' It looks like no one’s ball. PFK Sochi is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 42' FK Fakel Voronezh are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against PFK Sochi's shape.
  • 43' The Russia Evgeniy Markov breaks the deadlock on 43 minutes. 1-0!
  • 47' What a moment for Vyacheslav Yakimov! That strike on 47 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 47' PFK Sochi ring the changes. Miguel Silveira has done his job and it is now time for Nikita Burmistrov to step up.
  • 49' The referee calls foul for Marcelo Alves. He receives a card.
  • 51' Nikita Burmistrov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Fakel Voronezh must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PFK Sochi needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' Time for substitution for PFK Sochi. Georgi Melkadze is replaced by Luka Dordevic.
  • 63' Artur Yusupov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Martin Kramaric on 63 minute.
  • 68' The energy levels are beginning to show. Aleksandr Tochilin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 69' FK Fakel Voronezh manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nichita Motpan is hanging Ilnur Alshin on the field on 69 minute.
  • 73' Timofey Margasov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kirill Zaika at the 73 minute mark.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Maksim Maksimov. He replaces Khyzyr Appaev on 75 minute.
  • 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' A change in the PFK Sochi ranks — Vyacheslav Litvinov exits the field as Danil Anosov enters on 84.
  • 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' Sergei Bryzgalov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Irakli Kvekveskiri on 90 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for FK Fakel Voronezh and PFK Sochi (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Fakel Voronezh58% Draw26% PFK Sochi16%
Actual: FK Fakel Voronezh win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FK Fakel Voronezh or Draw
84%
Draw or PFK Sochi
42%
FK Fakel Voronezh or PFK Sochi
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Fakel Voronezh38% Draw49% PFK Sochi13%
Actual: FK Fakel Voronezh win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Fakel Voronezh

Handicap FK Fakel Voronezh covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 26% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
50%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.