FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Suduva Marijampole, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

FK Crvena Zvezda

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Suduva Marijampole

Sat 18 Mar 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Suduva Marijampole — Premier League .

FK Crvena Zvezda 0 games · 0 pts
FK Suduva Marijampole 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Crvena Zvezda 6.50

Draw 4.00

FK Suduva Marijampole 1.62

Head-to-Head

FK Crvena Zvezda 12 games · Avg 2.8 goals FK Suduva Marijampole

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-18 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole 2016-12-31 FK Suduva Marijampole 4–2 FK Crvena Zvezda 2016-03-05 FK Suduva Marijampole 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda 2015-11-07 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–0 FK Suduva Marijampole 2015-04-04 FK Suduva Marijampole 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

FK Crvena Zvezda

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	FK Suduva Marijampole	H	1–2	L
08 Mar	Crusaders FC	A	0–0	D
04 Mar	PSV	H	2–0	W
26 Feb	Valletta FC	A	0–4	L
11 Feb	Cork City FC	H	1–0	W
04 Feb	Astana FK	A	0–1	L

FK Suduva Marijampole

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	FK Crvena Zvezda	A	2–1	W
13 Mar	NK Olimpija Ljubljana	H	1–0	W
06 Mar	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	2–1	W
25 Feb	HSK Zrinjski Mostar	H	3–1	W
18 Feb	PAE AEK	A	2–0	W
12 Feb	APOEL FC	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Suduva Marijampole to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

FK Suduva Marijampole Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nemanja Radonjic	3
Nemanja Radonjic	3
El Fardou Ben Nabouhane	2
Lorenzo Ebecilio	1
Lorenzo Ebecilio	1
El Fardou Ben Nabouhane	1
Mihret Topcagic	1
Marko Marin	1

Head to Head

FK Crvena Zvezda Form

2017-03-18 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole L 2017-03-08 Crusaders FC 0–0 FK Crvena Zvezda D 2017-03-04 FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 PSV W 2017-02-26 Valletta FC 4–0 FK Crvena Zvezda L 2017-02-11 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–0 Cork City FC W 2017-02-04 Astana FK 1–0 FK Crvena Zvezda L

FK Suduva Marijampole Form

2017-03-18 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2017-03-12 FK Suduva Marijampole 1–0 NK Olimpija Ljubljana W 2017-03-06 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2017-02-25 FK Suduva Marijampole 3–1 HSK Zrinjski Mostar W 2017-02-17 PAE AEK 0–2 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2017-02-12 APOEL FC 1–1 FK Suduva Marijampole D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.23 FK Crvena Zvezda xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 FK Suduva Marijampole xG

I would bet for: FK Crvena Zvezda or FK Suduva Marijampole 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Crvena Zvezda32% Draw29% FK Suduva Marijampole39%

Actual: FK Suduva Marijampole win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw

61%

Draw or FK Suduva Marijampole

68%

FK Crvena Zvezda or FK Suduva Marijampole

71%

Half-Time Result

FK Crvena Zvezda24% Draw48% FK Suduva Marijampole28%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 0

9.9%

0 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

3.1%

0 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Crvena Zvezda

Handicap	FK Crvena Zvezda covers	Push	FK Suduva Marijampole covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	20%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

FK Suduva Marijampole keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.