FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Crvena Zvezda, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

FK Suduva Marijampole

4 – 2

Full Time

FK Crvena Zvezda

Sat 31 Dec 2016 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Premier League .

FK Suduva Marijampole 0 games · 0 pts
FK Crvena Zvezda 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Suduva Marijampole 1.25

Draw 6.50

FK Crvena Zvezda 14.00

Head-to-Head

FK Suduva Marijampole 12 games · Avg 2.8 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Last 5 meetings

2016-12-31 FK Suduva Marijampole 4–2 FK Crvena Zvezda 2016-03-05 FK Suduva Marijampole 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda 2015-11-07 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–0 FK Suduva Marijampole 2015-04-04 FK Suduva Marijampole 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda 2014-12-22 FK Crvena Zvezda 0–2 FK Suduva Marijampole

Recent Form

FK Suduva Marijampole

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Dec	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	4–2	W
26 Dec	FK Sutjeska Niksic	H	3–0	W
17 Dec	Cork City FC	A	1–0	W
14 Dec	FC Midtjylland	A	1–0	W
11 Dec	Astana FK	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	Crusaders FC	A	3–1	W

FK Crvena Zvezda

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Dec	FK Suduva Marijampole	A	2–4	L
27 Dec	Malmo FF	A	1–4	L
17 Dec	KF Shkendija 79	H	2–2	D
14 Dec	FC Spartak Trnava	H	0–0	D
10 Dec	Helsingin JK	A	1–3	L
03 Dec	APOEL FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Suduva Marijampole launch into their encounter with FK Crvena Zvezda.
With this win, FK Suduva Marijampole is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FK Suduva Marijampole Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nemanja Radonjic	3
Nemanja Radonjic	3
El Fardou Ben Nabouhane	2
Lorenzo Ebecilio	1
Lorenzo Ebecilio	1
El Fardou Ben Nabouhane	1
Mihret Topcagic	1
Marko Marin	1

Head to Head

FK Suduva Marijampole Form

2016-12-31 FK Suduva Marijampole 4–2 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2016-12-26 FK Suduva Marijampole 3–0 FK Sutjeska Niksic W 2016-12-17 Cork City FC 0–1 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2016-12-14 FC Midtjylland 0–1 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2016-12-11 FK Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Astana FK W 2016-12-03 Crusaders FC 1–3 FK Suduva Marijampole W

FK Crvena Zvezda Form

2016-12-31 FK Suduva Marijampole 4–2 FK Crvena Zvezda L 2016-12-27 Malmo FF 4–1 FK Crvena Zvezda L 2016-12-17 FK Crvena Zvezda 2–2 KF Shkendija 79 D 2016-12-14 FK Crvena Zvezda 0–0 FC Spartak Trnava D 2016-12-10 Helsingin JK 3–1 FK Crvena Zvezda L 2016-12-03 FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 APOEL FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.09 FK Suduva Marijampole xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 FK Crvena Zvezda xG

I would bet for: FK Suduva Marijampole to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Suduva Marijampole61% Draw22% FK Crvena Zvezda17%

Actual: FK Suduva Marijampole win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

FK Suduva Marijampole or Draw

83%

Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda

39%

FK Suduva Marijampole or FK Crvena Zvezda

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Suduva Marijampole43% Draw41% FK Crvena Zvezda16%

Actual: FK Suduva Marijampole win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.3%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

1 – 0

8.2%

3 – 1

6.6%

3 – 0

6.1%

0 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 2

0 – 1

3.9%

3 – 2

3.7%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Suduva Marijampole

Handicap	FK Suduva Marijampole covers	Push	FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	18%	63%
-1.5	37%	—	63%
-1	37%	22%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	11%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FK Suduva Marijampole keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.