FC Metz vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2017

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Ligue 2 2017/18 · 2017

FC Metz

0 – 4

Full Time

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Tue 19 Sep 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Metz vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Ligue 2 .

FC Metz 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Kaiserslautern 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Metz 3.30

Draw 3.25

1. FC Kaiserslautern 2.20

Head-to-Head

FC Metz 8 games · Avg 3.5 goals 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Last 5 meetings

2017-09-19 FC Metz 0–4 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2017-02-10 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–1 FC Metz 2016-09-16 FC Metz 1–3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2016-04-15 FC Metz 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2015-11-27 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–1 FC Metz

Recent Form

FC Metz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Sep	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	0–4	L
15 Sep	Marlow FC	A	0–2	L
08 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–1	D
25 Aug	FC Lorient	H	1–3	L
18 Aug	Racing Club de Lens	A	1–2	L
11 Aug	SSV Ulm 1846	H	0–1	L

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Sep	FC Metz	A	4–0	W
15 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	H	3–0	W
08 Sep	FC Lorient	A	4–1	W
25 Aug	1. FC Magdeburg	H	1–0	W
21 Aug	SV Rodinghausen	A	0–1	L
14 Aug	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . FC Metz are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
With this win, 1. FC Kaiserslautern is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

1. FC Kaiserslautern Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Metz Form

2017-09-19 FC Metz 0–4 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2017-09-15 Marlow FC 2–0 FC Metz L 2017-09-08 SV Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Metz D 2017-08-25 FC Metz 1–3 FC Lorient L 2017-08-18 Racing Club de Lens 2–1 FC Metz L 2017-08-11 FC Metz 0–1 SSV Ulm 1846 L

1. FC Kaiserslautern Form

2017-09-19 FC Metz 0–4 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2017-09-15 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 SV Werder Bremen W 2017-09-08 FC Lorient 1–4 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2017-08-25 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg W 2017-08-21 SV Rodinghausen 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2017-08-14 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 SV Wehen Wiesbaden D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.95 FC Metz xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.98 1. FC Kaiserslautern xG

I would bet for: 1. FC Kaiserslautern to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Metz19% Draw24% 1. FC Kaiserslautern57%

Actual: 1. FC Kaiserslautern win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.93

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

FC Metz or Draw

43%

Draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern

81%

FC Metz or 1. FC Kaiserslautern

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Metz14% Draw43% 1. FC Kaiserslautern43%

Actual: 1. FC Kaiserslautern win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

0 – 2

10.3%

0 – 1

10%

1 – 2

9.6%

0 – 0

7.1%

0 – 3

6.7%

1 – 3

6.3%

2 – 1

4.6%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 0

4.3%

0 – 4

Actual

1 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Metz

Handicap	FC Metz covers	Push	1. FC Kaiserslautern covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	11%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	23%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	19%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

FC Metz keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

1. FC Kaiserslautern keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.