1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC Metz, 2016

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Ligue 2 2016/17 · 2016

1. FC Kaiserslautern

1 – 1

Full Time

FC Metz

Fri 10 Feb 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC Metz — Ligue 2 .

1. FC Kaiserslautern 0 games · 0 pts
FC Metz 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.91

Draw 3.25

FC Metz 4.20

Head-to-Head

1. FC Kaiserslautern 8 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Metz

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-10 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–1 FC Metz 2016-09-16 FC Metz 1–3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2016-04-15 FC Metz 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2015-11-27 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–1 FC Metz 2015-03-20 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–2 FC Metz

Recent Form

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Feb	FC Metz	H	1–1	D
07 Feb	Racing Club de Lens	H	3–0	W
03 Feb	RC Strasbourg Alsace	A	2–1	W
27 Jan	Clermont Foot 63	H	2–2	D
21 Jan	SV 07 Elversberg	A	2–1	W
13 Jan	1. FC Magdeburg	H	0–0	D

FC Metz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Feb	1. FC Kaiserslautern	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	0–3	L
03 Feb	SSV Ulm 1846	A	1–1	D
27 Jan	Racing Club de Lens	H	0–0	D
13 Jan	SV 07 Elversberg	H	2–3	L
16 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. 1. FC Kaiserslautern host FC Metz — let the battle begin!
It finishes all square. 1. FC Kaiserslautern and FC Metz share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

1. FC Kaiserslautern Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

1. FC Kaiserslautern Form

2017-02-10 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–1 FC Metz D 2017-02-07 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 Racing Club de Lens W 2017-02-03 RC Strasbourg Alsace 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2017-01-27 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–2 Clermont Foot 63 D 2017-01-21 SV 07 Elversberg 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2017-01-13 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 1. FC Magdeburg D

FC Metz Form

2017-02-10 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–1 FC Metz D 2017-02-07 FC Metz 0–3 RC Strasbourg Alsace L 2017-02-03 SSV Ulm 1846 1–1 FC Metz D 2017-01-27 FC Metz 0–0 Racing Club de Lens D 2017-01-13 FC Metz 2–3 SV 07 Elversberg L 2016-12-16 1. FC Magdeburg 0–2 FC Metz W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.48 1. FC Kaiserslautern xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 FC Metz xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Kaiserslautern49% Draw27% FC Metz24%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

1. FC Kaiserslautern or Draw

76%

Draw or FC Metz

51%

1. FC Kaiserslautern or FC Metz

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Kaiserslautern32% Draw48% FC Metz20%

Actual: 1. FC Kaiserslautern win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.2%

0 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

4.4%

3 – 0

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Handicap	1. FC Kaiserslautern covers	Push	FC Metz covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Kaiserslautern keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

FC Metz keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.