Empoli FC vs ACF Fiorentina, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

Empoli FC

3 – 3

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Sun 29 Jan 2017 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Empoli FC 0 games · 0 pts
ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Empoli FC 1.62

Draw 4.00

ACF Fiorentina 5.50

Head-to-Head

Empoli FC 18 games · Avg 1.8 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2017-01-29 Empoli FC 3–3 ACF Fiorentina 2016-12-15 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Empoli FC 2016-01-31 ACF Fiorentina 0–0 Empoli FC 2015-09-12 Empoli FC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2015-01-31 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 Empoli FC

Recent Form

Empoli FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	H	3–3	D
21 Jan	UC Sampdoria	A	3–0	W
15 Jan	Indian Arrows	H	2–1	W
22 Dec	Churchill Brothers SC	H	3–3	D
18 Dec	Cagliari Calcio	A	1–3	L
15 Dec	ACF Fiorentina	A	0–1	L

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jan	Empoli FC	A	3–3	D
22 Jan	Torino FC	H	2–2	D
15 Jan	Chennai City FC	A	1–4	L
08 Jan	SS Lazio	H	0–1	L
22 Dec	Parma Calcio 1913	A	0–1	L
18 Dec	FK Ural	H	3–4	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Empoli FC and ACF Fiorentina has kicked off!
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Empoli FC 3-3 ACF Fiorentina.

Lineups

Empoli FC Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Francesco Caputo	2
Giovanni Simeone	1
Emmanuel Gyasi	1
Kevin Mirallas	1
M'Baye Niang	1
Diego Farias	1
Lucas Beltran	1
Filippo Bandinelli	1

Head to Head

Empoli FC Form

2017-01-29 Empoli FC 3–3 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-01-21 UC Sampdoria 0–3 Empoli FC W 2017-01-15 Empoli FC 2–1 Indian Arrows W 2016-12-22 Empoli FC 3–3 Churchill Brothers SC D 2016-12-18 Cagliari Calcio 3–1 Empoli FC L 2016-12-15 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Empoli FC L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2017-01-29 Empoli FC 3–3 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-01-22 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Torino FC D 2017-01-15 Chennai City FC 4–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-01-08 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 SS Lazio L 2016-12-22 Parma Calcio 1913 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2016-12-18 ACF Fiorentina 3–4 FK Ural L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.73 Empoli FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Empoli FC47% Draw25% ACF Fiorentina28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw

72%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

53%

Empoli FC or ACF Fiorentina

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Empoli FC33% Draw43% ACF Fiorentina24%

Actual: Empoli FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 2

1 – 0

2 – 0

6.7%

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 1

5.4%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap	Empoli FC covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.