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SM Caen vs VfR Wormatia 08 Worms, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 13 Sep 2014 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs VfR Wormatia 08 Worms — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 2.05
Draw 3.10
VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 3.90

Head-to-Head

3
3
SM Caen 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 1–0 W
30 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
23 Aug AJ Auxerre H 2–0 W
17 Aug FC Sochaux-Montbéliard A 2–0 W
09 Aug Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep SM Caen A 0–1 L
30 Aug AC Ajaccio H 4–0 W
23 Aug Paris FC A 0–2 L
16 Aug GFC Ajaccio H 0–0 D
10 Aug Nimes Olympique A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.23 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen51% Draw30% VfR Wormatia 08 Worms19%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
81%
Draw or VfR Wormatia 08 Worms
49%
SM Caen or VfR Wormatia 08 Worms
70%

Half-Time Result

SM Caen32% Draw55% VfR Wormatia 08 Worms13%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push VfR Wormatia 08 Worms covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 26% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
53%
VfR Wormatia 08 Worms keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.