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ES Troyes AC vs Red Star FC, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 19 Mar 2016 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Red Star FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ES Troyes AC 1.62
Draw 3.75
Red Star FC 6.00

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Mar Red Star FC H 2–0 W
13 Mar Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
06 Mar AC Ajaccio H 5–1 W
28 Feb FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 2–1 W
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Mar ES Troyes AC A 0–2 L
13 Mar Chamois Niortais FC H 2–0 W
09 Mar Senegal A 0–0 D
06 Mar Valenciennes FC A 1–4 L
28 Feb Nimes Olympique H 0–0 D
13 Feb VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 2–1 W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

Red Star FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.65 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Red Star FC xG
I would bet for: ES Troyes AC to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC59% Draw25% Red Star FC16%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
84%
Draw or Red Star FC
41%
ES Troyes AC or Red Star FC
75%

Half-Time Result

ES Troyes AC40% Draw48% Red Star FC12%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push Red Star FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 26% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
49%
Red Star FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.