EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2019 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Correia
- Referee Bruno Arleu de Araujo
- Referee Luiz Claudio Regazzone
- Referee Emerson Ricardo de Almeida Andrade
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Nov | Chapecoense AF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Avai FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 41 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 25 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 13 |
| +2 | GD | +17 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 41% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova!
- 5' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's shape.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 18' Flavio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 18.
- 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roger Machado will be considering his options from the bench.
- 28' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
- 33' EC Bahia have won 348 goals from 325 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Deyverson is withdrawn and Miguel Borja gets his opportunity.
- 47' GOAL! Arthur Caike fires home to make it 1-0!
- 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Lima, as he is very good at scoring at Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 59' Fernandao has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gilberto on 59 minute.
- 62' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucca is hanging Elber on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Douglas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 71' Magnificent from Miguel Borja! That is 37 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Willian. He replaces Ze Rafael on 72 minute.
- 77' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
- 79' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ronaldo.
- 79' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Shaylon on, Flavio off on 79 minutes.
- 84' Gilberto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 45 goals in his last 325 appearances.
- 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 1
- 28
- 26
- 7
- 5
- 9
- 3
- 6
- 23
- 77
Bench
Coach
Roger Machado
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 21
- 13
- 6
- 2
- 7
- 5
- 19
-
16
Deyverson ↓ Miguel Borja 46'
-
14
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Lucas Lima 46'
- 4
Bench
- 23
- 35
- 1
- 3
- 25
- 12
- 26
- 28
-
20
Lucas Lima ↑ 46'
-
29
Willian ↑ 72'
-
9
Miguel Borja ↑ 46'
- 18
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 1 |
| Willian | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
52%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
76%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

