Churchill Brothers SC vs Genoa CFC, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

Churchill Brothers SC

4 – 2

Full Time

Genoa CFC

Wed 18 Apr 2018 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Churchill Brothers SC vs Genoa CFC — Serie A .

Churchill Brothers SC 0 games · 0 pts
Genoa CFC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Churchill Brothers SC 1.18

Draw 7.00

Genoa CFC 17.00

Head-to-Head

Churchill Brothers SC 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals Genoa CFC

Last 5 meetings

2018-04-18 Churchill Brothers SC 4–2 Genoa CFC 2017-11-26 Genoa CFC 0–1 Churchill Brothers SC 2017-04-15 Churchill Brothers SC 3–0 Genoa CFC 2016-11-19 Genoa CFC 1–2 Churchill Brothers SC 2016-04-03 Genoa CFC 3–1 Churchill Brothers SC

Recent Form

Churchill Brothers SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Genoa CFC	H	4–2	W
15 Apr	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–0	D
08 Apr	UC Sampdoria	H	2–1	W
31 Mar	AC Milan	A	1–1	D
18 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–0	W
11 Mar	Udinese Calcio	A	0–0	D

Genoa CFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Churchill Brothers SC	A	2–4	L
14 Apr	Chennai City FC	A	1–2	L
08 Apr	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–2	L
03 Apr	Empoli FC	H	0–2	L
31 Mar	AC Chievo Verona	A	0–2	L
17 Mar	AC Milan	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Churchill Brothers SC to score. At the same time, Genoa CFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The referee brings this contest to a close. Churchill Brothers SC take all three points.

Lineups

Churchill Brothers SC Lineups

Genoa CFC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Churchill Brothers SC Form

2018-04-18 Churchill Brothers SC 4–2 Genoa CFC W 2018-04-15 Bologna FC 1909 0–0 Churchill Brothers SC D 2018-04-08 Churchill Brothers SC 2–1 UC Sampdoria W 2018-03-31 AC Milan 1–1 Churchill Brothers SC D 2018-03-18 Churchill Brothers SC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2018-03-11 Udinese Calcio 0–0 Churchill Brothers SC D

Genoa CFC Form

2018-04-18 Churchill Brothers SC 4–2 Genoa CFC L 2018-04-14 Chennai City FC 2–1 Genoa CFC L 2018-04-08 Genoa CFC 1–2 Cagliari Calcio L 2018-04-03 Genoa CFC 0–2 Empoli FC L 2018-03-31 AC Chievo Verona 2–0 Genoa CFC L 2018-03-17 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.96 Churchill Brothers SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 Genoa CFC xG

I would bet for: Churchill Brothers SC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Churchill Brothers SC59% Draw22% Genoa CFC19%

Actual: Churchill Brothers SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.11

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Churchill Brothers SC or Draw

82%

Draw or Genoa CFC

41%

Churchill Brothers SC or Genoa CFC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Churchill Brothers SC40% Draw42% Genoa CFC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.9%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.5%

1 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

6.2%

0 – 0

6.1%

1 – 2

5.6%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.4%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

3.6%

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Churchill Brothers SC

Handicap	Churchill Brothers SC covers	Push	Genoa CFC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	22%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Churchill Brothers SC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.