Saturday , 14 November 2026

Chorley FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2020-21
Chorley FC
2 – 0
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 9 Jan 2021 · 12:15 UTC The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Chorley FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Atkin
  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Referee Kevin Friend
  • Referee Rob Merchant

Head-to-Head

1
Chorley FC 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2021-01-09 Chorley FC 2–0 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Chorley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Derby County FC H 2–0 W
28 Nov Peterborough United FC A 2–1 W
08 Nov Wigan Athletic FC A 3–2 W
13 Oct York City FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Gateshead FC H 2–1 W
19 Oct Spennymoor Town FC H 2–0 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Chorley FC A 0–2 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Birmingham City FC A 4–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
12 Dec Stoke City FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Chorley FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adam Henley made 297 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' GOAL! Connor Hall scores on 10. Assisted by Mike Calveley
  • 15' A quiet spell here at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium. Chorley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Chorley FC is showing some good football. However, Chorley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Harry Cardwell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 30' Harvey Smith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Chorley FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' Chorley FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 60' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 70' Mike Calveley is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 71' The Chorley FC manager makes a substitution. Andy Halls departs to be replaced by Adam Henley.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Elliot Newby suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' Harvey Smith is replacing Oliver Shenton for the Chorley FC side.
  • 80' Connor Hall makes way for Lewis Reilly at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Chorley FC.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Mike Calveley gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Chorley FC to claim maximum points.

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Chorley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chorley FC56% Draw26% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Chorley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Chorley FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Chorley FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chorley FC36% Draw50% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Chorley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Chorley FC

Handicap Chorley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Chorley FC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.