Saturday , 14 November 2026

Ceará SC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 16 Apr 2025 · 00:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W
09 Nov Avaí FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Ceará SC A 1–2 L
13 Apr SC Recife H 3–1 W
05 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
30 Mar Santos FC H 2–1 W
08 Dec Cuiabá EC A 2–1 W
04 Dec CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/8
61-75
6/7
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Ceará SC gets underway.
  • 4' Paulinho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 4.
  • 9' Ceará SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' That is a card for Ceara SC. Fabiano Silva will be fuming at that decision.
  • 15' Lucas Mugni has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Pedro Raul has been relatively quiet despite scoring 46 goals in his last 355 appearances.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 29' A goal from the Brazil international Pedro Raul! He fires home on 29 to make it 0-1!
  • 31' Paulo Henrique picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Hugo Moura on 34 minutes earns him a card. CR Vasco da Gama will be frustrated.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Antonio Galeano. He receives a card.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' It is a substitution in CR Vasco da Gama team. Paulinho is replaced by Jair on 46 minute.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ceará SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ceará SC and CR Vasco da Gama are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 57' The whistle greets Dimitri Payet as he departs to be replaced by Alex Teixeira.
  • 62' Matheus Bahia picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 64' The whistle greets Bruno as he departs to be replaced by Fernando Miguel.
  • 69' It is a cagey affair so far. Ceará SC in their trying to find a way past CR Vasco da Gama's compact .
  • 71' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Lucas Mugni is replaced by Matheus Araujo on 71 minute.
  • 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 81' The Brazil Pedro Raul breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 0-2!
  • 86' Dimitri Payet has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 89' Another change for Ceara SC made on 89 minute. Pedro Raul leaves to be changed by Romulo.
  • 90' The whistle greets Lucas Freitas as he departs to be replaced by Jean Meneses.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC50% Draw26% CR Vasco da Gama24%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
76%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
50%
Ceará SC or CR Vasco da Gama
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC35% Draw46% CR Vasco da Gama19%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.