Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Casa Pia AC vs SC Farense, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 15:30 UTC Estadio Pina Manique 1,202 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Elves
Cassiano pen 32' 1–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov SC Farense H 1–1 D
02 Nov Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
25 Oct CD Nacional H 1–0 W
05 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
28 Sep Vitória SC H 1–1 D
22 Sep Gil Vicente FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Casa Pia AC A 1–1 D
02 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
27 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–2 L
06 Oct GD Estoril Praia H 1–0 W
30 Sep AVS A 0–0 D
22 Sep FC Arouca H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Casa Pia AC and SC Farense get this one started.
  • 4' Rafael Brito picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 7' Elves has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 12' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 17' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Claudio Falcao suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Farense that had 102 games and scored 109 goals.
  • 32' Cassiano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
  • 37' SC Farense are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a card for Mehdi Merghem.
  • 46' Rafael Barbosa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Casa Pia AC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Casa Pia AC and SC Farense are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' Adrian Kraev is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 63' Rafael Barbosa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elves at the 63 minute mark.
  • 64' Fresh legs for SC Farense! Jaime Pinto comes on to replace Mehdi Merghem.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marco Matias made 386 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 72' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paulo Victor on 72.
  • 77' The referee has no hesitation. Marco Moreno is booked for SC Farense — card on 77.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Geraldes as he leaves the pitch. Larra steps in for Casa Pia AC.
  • 83' The whistle greets Dario Poveda as he departs to be replaced by Marco Matias.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Larra on 84.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Casa Pia AC! Henrique Pereira comes on to replace Cassiano.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Ruben Kluivert. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Geovanny Almeida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Miguel Menino on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 SC Farense xG
I would bet for: Casa Pia AC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC44% Draw29% SC Farense27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
74%
Draw or SC Farense
56%
Casa Pia AC or SC Farense
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC30% Draw51% SC Farense19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push SC Farense covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
SC Farense keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.