Cardiff City FC vs Northampton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cardiff City FC vs Northampton Town FC — League One at Cardiff City Stadium.
- Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
- Northampton Town FC 46 games · 35 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Edward Duckworth (England)
4 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 5.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Northampton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Port Vale FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Reading FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Peterborough United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 18 Apr | Doncaster Rovers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Bradford City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Mansfield Town FC | A | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Cardiff City Stadium!
- 5' Cardiff City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 9' GOAL! Ollie Tanner fires home to make it 1-0!
- 14' Over 14 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 19' Joel Colwill has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
- 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cardiff City FC that had 380 games and scored 408 goals.
- 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' The Ireland Callum Robinson breaks the deadlock on 37 minutes. 3-0!
- 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Sam Hoskins.
- 46' The crowd applauds Kamarai Simon-Swyer as he leaves the pitch. Kyle McAdam steps in for Northampton Town FC.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 54' Magnificent from Ollie Tanner! That is 6 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 55' Yousef Salech is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rubin Colwill at the 55 minute mark.
- 60' Will Fish has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 65' Ollie Tanner makes way for Isaak Davies at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cardiff City FC.
- 66' Time for substitution for Northampton Town FC. Sam Hoskins is replaced by Jake Evans.
- 68' What a moment for Jake Evans! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
- 73' The 26-year-old Nesta Guinness-Walker has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 74' It’s gonna be a card for Alex Robertson.
- 79' The energy levels are beginning to show. Brian Barry-Murphy might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 80' Terry Taylor gets the nod from Northampton Town FC. He replaces Dean Campbell and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Another change for Northampton Town FC made on 81 minute. Tyrese Fornah leaves to be changed by Michael Jacobs.
- 85' What a strike from Yousef Salech! The score is 5-1.
- 87' Rob Tankiewicz gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces David Turnbull and will look to change the dynamic.
- Another three points for Cardiff City FC.
Lineups
Cardiff City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
-
14
David Turnbull ↓ Rob Tankiewicz 87'
-
16
Chris Willock ↓ Omari Kellyman 65'
- 3
- 30
-
10
Rubin Colwill ↓ Yousef Salech 55'
-
27
Joel Colwill ↓ Alex Robertson 55'
-
11
Ollie Tanner ↓ Isaak Davies 65'
- 2
- 48
- 44
Bench
- 38
- 13
-
39
Isaak Davies ↑ 65'
-
18
Alex Robertson ↑ 55'
-
22
Yousef Salech ↑ 55'
-
8
Omari Kellyman ↑ 65'
-
55
Rob Tankiewicz ↑ 87'
Coach
Brian Barry-Murphy
Northampton Town FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
-
7
Sam Hoskins ↓ Jake Evans 66'
- 1
-
4
Dean Campbell ↓ Terry Taylor 80'
- 3
- 12
-
27
Jack Vale ↓ Elliott List 46'
-
14
Tyrese Fornah ↓ Michael Jacobs 81'
- 35
- 11
Bench
- 34
-
10
Elliott List ↑ 46'
- 9
-
17
Michael Jacobs ↑ 81'
-
23
Terry Taylor ↑ 80'
-
26
Kyle McAdam ↑ 46'
-
15
Jake Evans ↑ 66'
Coach
Colin Calderwood
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ollie Tanner | 2 |
| Callum Robinson | 1 |
| Yousef Salech | 1 |
| Joel Colwill | 1 |
| Jake Evans | 1 |
Head to Head
Cardiff City FC Form
2026-04-25
Cardiff City FC
5–1
Northampton Town FC
W
2026-04-22
Cardiff City FC
1–0
Port Vale FC
W
2026-04-18
Reading FC
1–3
Cardiff City FC
W
2026-04-14
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–1
Cardiff City FC
D
2026-04-11
Cardiff City FC
2–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2026-04-06
Peterborough United FC
1–1
Cardiff City FC
D
Northampton Town FC Form
2026-04-25
Cardiff City FC
5–1
Northampton Town FC
L
2026-04-18
Northampton Town FC
1–3
Doncaster Rovers FC
L
2026-04-15
Luton Town FC
2–1
Northampton Town FC
L
2026-04-06
Northampton Town FC
1–3
Wigan Athletic FC
L
2026-04-03
Bradford City AFC
1–0
Northampton Town FC
L
2026-03-21
Mansfield Town FC
4–1
Northampton Town FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.43
Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Northampton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Cardiff City FC to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cardiff City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Cardiff City FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Northampton Town FC
31%
Cardiff City FC or Northampton Town FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cardiff City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
4.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC
| Handicap | Cardiff City FC covers | Push | Northampton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

