Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Tucuman vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Liga Profesional · 2018-19
CA Tucuman
4 – 2
Full Time
CA Independiente
Sun 28 Oct 2018 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Cristian Lucchetti 33' Y
Jose San Roman 45' Y
Gervasio Nunez 45' Y
Y 55' Pablo Hernandez
R 56' Pablo Hernandez
Y 83' Jorge Figal

Overview

Match Preview

CA Tucumán vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina .

Match Details

  • Referee Gustavo Rossi
  • Referee Patricio Loustau
  • Referee Luis Alvarez
  • Referee Andres Barbieri

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CA Velez Sarsfield 27 51
2 CA Talleres 27 48
3 Racing Club 27 46
4 CA Huracan 27 46
5 CA River Plate 27 43
6 CA Boca Juniors 27 42
7 CA Independiente 27 40
8 CA Tucuman 27 40
9 CA Union 27 40
10 CA Platense 27 39
11 CS Independiente Rivadavia 27 38
12 Estudiantes de La Plata 27 36
13 Instituto AC Cordoba 27 36
14 CA Lanus 27 36
15 CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 27 35
16 CA Belgrano 27 35
17 CD Riestra 27 35
18 CA Tigre 27 34
19 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 27 32
20 CA Rosario Central 27 32
21 CSyD Defensa y Justicia 27 32
22 CA Central Cordoba 27 31
23 AA Argentinos Juniors 27 30
24 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 27 29
25 CA Newell's Old Boys 27 28
26 CA Sarmiento de Junin 27 26
27 CA Banfield 27 24
28 CA Barracas Central 27 23

Head-to-Head

4
3
CA Tucuman 7 games · Avg 2.4 goals CA Independiente
Last 5 meetings
2018-10-28 CA Tucuman 4–2 CA Independiente

Recent Form

CA Tucuman
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct CA Independiente H 4–2 W
21 Oct Estudiantes de La Plata A 1–1 D
07 Oct CA Lanus H 0–0 D
23 Sep CA San Martín de San Juan A 3–1 W
15 Sep CA Tigre H 3–0 W
03 Sep CA Newell's Old Boys A 2–1 W
CA Independiente
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct CA Tucuman A 2–4 L
21 Oct CA Huracan H 3–1 W
06 Oct CA Patronato A 2–1 W
28 Sep CA Tigre H 0–0 D
22 Sep CA Banfield A 1–1 D
15 Sep CA Colon H 3–0 W

Season Stats

CA Tucuman CA Independiente
#8 Position #7
40 Points 40
27 Played 27
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
28 Scored 25
27 Conceded 17
+1 GD +8
1.48 PPG 1.48
41% Win % 33%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
CA Tucuman this season
30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Tucuman are 8th (40 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Tucuman
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/5
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Tucuman
Leandro Diaz 7 G 1 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Tucuman and CA Independiente get this one started.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Guillermo Burdisso, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Maximiliano Meza needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 14' The Argentina Rodrigo Aliendro breaks the deadlock on 14 minutes. 1-0!
  • 19' CA Tucuman are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Independiente backline.
  • 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 29' Luis Rodriguez, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Cristian Lucchetti on 33 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Tucuman will be frustrated.
  • 35' A goal from the Ecuador international Fernando Gaibor! He fires home on 35 to make it 1-1!
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Guillermo Acosta suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' Rodrigo Aliendro has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Jose San Roman. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 46' The whistle greets Ezequiel Cerutti as he departs to be replaced by Pablo Hernandez.
  • 51' Juan Mercier has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' A stunning finish from Emmanuel Gigliotti — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' Poor challenge from Pablo Hernandez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 56' CA Independiente player sees a Red card in front of him.
  • 61' CA Tucuman ring the changes. Gervasio Nunez has done his job and it is now time for Fabio Alvarez to step up.
  • 63' The CA Tucuman bench stirs into life. Jose San Roman is withdrawn and David Barbona gets his opportunity.
  • 68' CA Tucuman are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 73' CA Independiente started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 74' Fresh legs for CA Tucuman! Javier Toledo comes on to replace Mauro Matos.
  • 75' CA Independiente make a change. Martin Benitez trudges off to be replaced by Braian Romero on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Martin Benitez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Tucuman so far.
  • 83' That is a Yellow card for CA Independiente. Jorge Figal will be fuming at that decision.
  • 85' Goal! Luis Rodriguez scores his 20 goal in 167 matches.
  • 90' GOAL! Fabio Alvarez scores on 90. Assisted by Yonathan Cabral
  • With this win, CA Tucuman is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CA Tucumán Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ricardo Zielinsky

CA Independiente Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ariel Holan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Avalos 2
Felipe Loyola 2
Rodrigo Aliendro 2
Renzo Tesuri 1
Augusto Lotti 1
Fernando Gaibor 1
Mateo Bajamich 1
Emmanuel Gigliotti 1

Head to Head

2018-10-28 CA Tucuman 4–2 CA Independiente

CA Tucumán Form

2018-10-28 CA Tucuman 4–2 CA Independiente L 2018-10-21 Estudiantes de La Plata 1–1 CA Tucuman D 2018-10-07 CA Tucuman 0–0 CA Lanus D 2018-09-23 CA San Martín de San Juan 1–3 CA Tucuman W 2018-09-15 CA Tucuman 3–0 CA Tigre L 2018-09-03 CA Newell's Old Boys 1–2 CA Tucuman W

CA Independiente Form

2018-10-28 CA Tucuman 4–2 CA Independiente L 2018-10-21 CA Independiente 3–1 CA Huracan W 2018-10-06 CA Patronato 1–2 CA Independiente W 2018-09-28 CA Independiente 0–0 CA Tigre D 2018-09-22 CA Banfield 1–1 CA Independiente D 2018-09-15 CA Independiente 3–0 CA Colon W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93 CA Tucumán xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Tucumán53% Draw24% CA Independiente23%
Actual: CA Tucumán win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

CA Tucumán or Draw
77%
Draw or CA Independiente
47%
CA Tucumán or CA Independiente
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Tucumán38% Draw42% CA Independiente20%
Actual: CA Tucumán win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CA Tucumán

Handicap CA Tucumán covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Tucumán keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.