Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 APERTURA

Sat 2 May 2026 · 21:45 UTC El Nuevo Gasometro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina at El Nuevo Gasometro.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Dovalo
  • Assistant 1 Juan Mamani (Argentina)
  • Assistant 2 Lucas Pardo (Argentina)
21 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA Independiente H 1–2 L
25 Apr CA Platense A 1–0 W
20 Apr CA Vélez Sarsfield H 0–0 D
12 Apr CA Newell's Old Boys A 0–0 D
03 Apr Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–0 W
25 Mar CD Riestra A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 2–1 W
24 Apr CD Riestra A 0–2 L
18 Apr CSyD Defensa y Justicia H 3–1 W
11 Apr CA Boca Juniors A 1–1 D
04 Apr Racing Club H 1–0 W
21 Mar CA Talleres H 1–2 L

Season Stats

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro CA Independiente
#24 Position #7
29 Points 40
27 Played 27
7 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
20 Scored 25
26 Conceded 17
-6 GD +8
1.07 PPG 1.48
26% Win % 33%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro this season
27% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are 24th (29 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
1/6
61-75
4/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
4/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/6
61-75
1/4
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
Alexis Cuello 7 G 3 A
Rodrigo Auzmendi 7 G 2 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CA San Lorenzo de Almagro to score. At the same time, CA Independiente does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' CA Independiente has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 8' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Milton Valenzuela on 8 minutes.
  • 13' CA Independiente have won 192 goals from 190 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 16' Matias Abaldo adds to his 2 season tally! CA Independiente lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 20' The referee has no hesitation. Alexis Cuello is booked for CA San Lorenzo de Almagro — card on 20.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Jose Devecchi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 199 appearances.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' Manuel Insaurralde is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Lomonaco.
  • 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CA Independiente winning 50% of all matches.
  • 51' Ezequiel Herrera Gomez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Independiente so far.
  • 54' A goal from the Chile international Maximiliano Gutierrez! He fires home on 54 to make it 0-2!
  • 59' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 64' The travelling CA Independiente supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Independiente are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' A stunning finish from Ezequiel Herrera Gomez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 77' The 20-year-old Mateo Perez Curci has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sebastian Valdez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Independiente.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Sebastian Valdez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CA San Lorenzo de Almagro.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.71 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + CA Independiente or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro28% Draw36% CA Independiente36%
Actual: CA Independiente win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or Draw
64%
Draw or CA Independiente
72%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or CA Independiente
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro16% Draw60% CA Independiente24%
Actual: CA Independiente win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.1%
0 – 1
16.6%
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 1
1.1%

Asian Handicap — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

Handicap CA San Lorenzo de Almagro covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 17% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 23% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
50% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.