CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- CR Flamengo 34 games · 76 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | CR Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 54 | Points | 76 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 23 / 7 / 4 |
| 51 | Scored | 71 |
| 43 | Conceded | 29 |
| +8 | GD | +42 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 2.24 |
| 44% | Win % | 68% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
41%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (76 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
8/3
16-30
6/2
31-45
9/2
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/2
76+
12/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 20 G | 7 A |
| Samuel Lino | 12 G | 9 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 7 G | 9 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 7 G | 1 A |
| Gonzalo Plata | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! CA Paranaense welcome CR Flamengo for this crunch clash at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leo Ortiz made 240 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 11' What a moment for Stiven Mendoza! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
- 16' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Flamengo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Jorge Carrascal.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CR Flamengo backline.
- 40' A moment of madness from Stiven Mendoza on 40 minutes earns him a card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Esquivel, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 55' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' That is a card for CA Paranaense. Jadson will be fuming at that decision.
- 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 66' The 19-year-old Arthur Dias has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 71' Jorge Carrascal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Flamengo so far.
- 76' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 81' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
- 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 7
- 10
- 37
- 29
- 6
- 33
- 5
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 3
- 1
- 11
- 53
- 47
- 8
- 42
- 63
- 2
- 26
- 70
- 21
Coach
Odair Hellmann
CR Flamengo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 3
- 9
- 4
- 13
- 8
- 26
- 2
- 1
- 15
- 16
Bench
- 11
- 22
- 6
- 42
- 27
- 44
- 49
- 64
- 75
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 6 |
| Bruno Henrique | 5 |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 |
| Marcelo | 2 |
| Fabricio Bruno | 2 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| David Terans | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or CR Flamengo 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
66%
Draw or CR Flamengo
62%
CA Paranaense or CR Flamengo
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | CR Flamengo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

