Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 17 May 2026 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'
Stiven Mendoza 11' 1–0
Filipinho 40' Y
Jadson 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
10 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
02 May Gremio FBPA H 0–0 D
26 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
19 Apr SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
12 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CA Paranaense A 0–1 L
10 May Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
03 May CR Vasco da Gama H 2–2 D
26 Apr CA Mineiro A 4–0 W
19 Apr EC Bahia H 2–0 W
12 Apr Fluminense FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense CR Flamengo
#5 Position #1
54 Points 76
34 Played 34
15 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 23 / 7 / 4
51 Scored 71
43 Conceded 29
+8 GD +42
1.59 PPG 2.24
44% Win % 68%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
41% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (76 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
8/3
16-30
6/2
31-45
9/2
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/2
76+
12/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 21 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 6 G 1 A
Leozinho 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
CR Flamengo
Pedro 20 G 7 A
Samuel Lino 12 G 9 A
Jorge Carrascal 7 G 9 A
Lucas Paqueta 7 G 1 A
Gonzalo Plata 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! CA Paranaense welcome CR Flamengo for this crunch clash at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leo Ortiz made 240 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 11' What a moment for Stiven Mendoza! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 21' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Flamengo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Jorge Carrascal.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CR Flamengo backline.
  • 40' A moment of madness from Stiven Mendoza on 40 minutes earns him a card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Esquivel, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 55' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' That is a card for CA Paranaense. Jadson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 66' The 19-year-old Arthur Dias has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 71' Jorge Carrascal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Flamengo so far.
  • 76' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 81' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for: CA Paranaense or CR Flamengo 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense38% Draw28% CR Flamengo34%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
66%
Draw or CR Flamengo
62%
CA Paranaense or CR Flamengo
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense23% Draw50% CR Flamengo27%
Actual: CA Paranaense win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push CR Flamengo covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
28% ✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.