Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs Cuiaba EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 24 Sep 2023 · 00:00 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 61' Marllon
Pedrinho 69' Y
Otavio 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Cuiaba EC — Serie A at Independencia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
17 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
02 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
27 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
20 Aug CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
13 Aug EC Bahia H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
15 Sep America FC H 2–2 D
03 Sep Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
27 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
19 Aug SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
15 Aug CA Paranaense A 0–2 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Independencia will turn into a battlefield for CA Mineiro and Cuiaba EC.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Cuiaba EC have won 155 goals from 152 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hulk made 479 appearances and scored 76 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 24' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 24.
  • 29' Derik Lacerda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
  • 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 42' The deadlock is broken! Paulinho gets on the scoresheet on 42 minutes.
  • 46' Cuiaba EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Mineiro is hanging Fernando Sobral on the field on 46 minute.
  • 49' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Mineiro argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Denilson Alves.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' Controversy at the stadium! Marllon argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 66' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 67' Matias Zaracho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cristian Pavon at the 67 minute mark.
  • 68' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 68 minute. Mauricio Lemos leaves to be changed by Jemerson.
  • 69' Pedrinho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 69.
  • 71' A change in the Cuiaba EC ranks — Clayson exits the field as Pablinho enters on 71.
  • 76' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' Pablo Ceppelini is replacing Denilson Alves for the Cuiaba EC side.
  • 81' Poor challenge from Otavio. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 87' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Pedrinho departs to be replaced by Edenilson.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Rever. He replaces Paulinho on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Cuiaba EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro62% Draw25% Cuiaba EC13%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
87%
Draw or Cuiaba EC
38%
CA Mineiro or Cuiaba EC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro39% Draw50% Cuiaba EC11%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
2 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Cuiaba EC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 27% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 10% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
55% ✓
Cuiaba EC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.