CA Mineiro vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Independencia.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- CR Flamengo 28 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
- Referee Evandro de Melo Lima
- Referee Nailton Junior de Sousa Oliveira
9 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Goiás EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jul | America FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jun | Club Libertad Asuncion | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jul | America FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | SD Aucas | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | CR Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #1 |
| 40 | Points | 60 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 4 |
| 36 | Scored | 55 |
| 32 | Conceded | 23 |
| +4 | GD | +32 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 2.14 |
| 41% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 16 G | 6 A |
| Samuel Lino | 9 G | 7 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 5 G | 7 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 5 G | |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Everton Ribeiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 29 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' The referee calls foul for Filipe Luis. He receives a Yellow card.
- 19' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a Yellow card on 19.
- 24' Brazil international Everton has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Leo Pereira.
- 30' The travelling CR Flamengo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' What a strike from Paulinho! The score is 1-0.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Mineiro and CR Flamengo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' A moment of madness from Everson on 44 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Cristian Pavon.
- 46' Time for substitution for CR Flamengo. Pablo Castro is replaced by Giorgian De Arrascaeta.
- 51' CR Flamengo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gerson, as he is very good at scoring at Independencia with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 61' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against CR Flamengo's shape.
- 65' CR Flamengo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everton is hanging Bruno Henrique on the field on 65 minute.
- 70' Thiago Maia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 71' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Renzo Saravia exits the field as Mariano enters on 71.
- 74' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Alan Franco on, Rodrigo Battaglia off on 74 minutes.
- 79' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CR Flamengo backline.
- 81' Controversy at the stadium! Giorgian De Arrascaeta argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 83' Thiago Maia is replacing Filipe Luis for the CR Flamengo side.
- 87' Wesley doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Otavio by Alan Kardec on 90 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Gabriel Barbosa on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CR Flamengo will be frustrated.
- CR Flamengo celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 16
- 34
-
5
Otavio ↓ Alan Kardec 90'
- –
- 13
-
21
Rodrigo Battaglia ↓ Alan Franco 74'
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↓ Mariano 71'
- 15
- 9
- 7
Bench
- 4
- –
- 17
- 28
-
25
Mariano ↑ 71'
- 8
- 49
-
–
Alan Franco ↑ 74'
- 31
- 44
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 90'
-
45
Alisson Santana ↑ 90'
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
4
Leo Pereira ↓ Pablo 46'
- 15
- 21
-
16
Filipe Luis ↓ Thiago Maia 83'
- 20
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↓ Everton 65'
- 10
- 25
-
29
Victor Hugo Gomes ↓ Luiz Araujo 65'
- 43
Bench
-
14
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↑ 46'
-
11
Everton ↑ 65'
- 9
- 1
-
8
Thiago Maia ↑ 83'
-
–
Luiz Araujo ↑ 65'
-
30
Pablo ↑ 46'
- 2
- –
- 42
- 38
- 48
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Henrique | 4 |
| Willian Arao | 3 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
| Carlinhos | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.94
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
54%
Draw or CR Flamengo
75%
CA Mineiro or CR Flamengo
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.1%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | CR Flamengo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

