Sunday , 16 August 2026

CA Boca Juniors vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 APERTURA

Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 22:30 UTC La Bombonera HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Matias Abaldo
Milton Gimenez pen 45+11' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

CA Boca Juniors vs CA IndependienteSuperliga Argentina at La Bombonera.

Match Details

  • Referee Andres Merlos
  • Assistant 1 Sebastian Rainieri (Argentina)
  • Assistant 2 Diego Bonfa
16 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr CA Independiente H 1–1 D
02 Apr CA Talleres A 1–0 W
22 Mar Instituto AC Córdoba H 2–0 W
16 Mar CA Union A 1–1 D
11 Mar CA San Lorenzo de Almagro H 1–1 D
05 Mar CA Lanus A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr CA Boca Juniors A 1–1 D
04 Apr Racing Club H 1–0 W
21 Mar CA Talleres H 1–2 L
17 Mar Instituto AC Córdoba A 1–2 L
10 Mar CA Union H 4–4 D
28 Feb CA Central Córdoba H 2–0 W

Season Stats

CA Boca Juniors CA Independiente
#6 Position #7
42 Points 40
27 Played 27
11 / 9 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
30 Scored 25
23 Conceded 17
+7 GD +8
1.56 PPG 1.48
41% Win % 33%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
14% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
CA Boca Juniors this season
29% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Boca Juniors are 6th (42 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Boca Juniors
0-15
/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
/4
61-75
1/
76+
5/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/3
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Boca Juniors
Miguel Merentiel 5 G 2 A
Santiago Ascacibar 5 G
Milton Gimenez 4 G
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 CA Boca Juniors xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: CA Boca Juniors or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Boca Juniors42% Draw32% CA Independiente26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

CA Boca Juniors or Draw
74%
Draw or CA Independiente
58%
CA Boca Juniors or CA Independiente
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Boca Juniors25% Draw57% CA Independiente18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.6%
1 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Boca Juniors

Handicap CA Boca Juniors covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 23% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Boca Juniors keeps clean sheet
45%
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.