Buxton FC vs Merthyr Town FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 1

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FA Cup · 2022-23

Buxton FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Merthyr Town FC

Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Buxton FC vs Merthyr Town FC — FA Cup .

Buxton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Merthyr Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Head-to-Head

Buxton FC 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Merthyr Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-11-05 Buxton FC 2–0 Merthyr Town FC

Recent Form

Buxton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Merthyr Town FC	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	Bamber Bridge FC	A	3–0	W
06 Nov	York City FC	A	1–0	W
19 Oct	Kettering Town FC	H	3–1	W
16 Oct	Kettering Town FC	A	2–2	D
04 Sep	Sherwood Colliery	A	0–0	D

Merthyr Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Buxton FC	A	0–2	L
01 Oct	Gloucester City AFC	A	1–0	W
03 Sep	Truro City FC	H	5–2	W
04 Sep	Hamworthy United FC	H	0–0	D
21 Sep	Weston-super-Mare AFC	A	1–2	L
07 Sep	Plymouth Parkway FC	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)

0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Buxton FC this season

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Buxton FC and Merthyr Town FC.
5' Diego De Girolamo puts Buxton FC on the lead.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Merthyr Town FC.

Lineups

Buxton FC Lineups

Merthyr Town FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego De Girolamo	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.6 Buxton FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.69 Merthyr Town FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Buxton FC58% Draw26% Merthyr Town FC16%

Actual: Buxton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.29

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Buxton FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Merthyr Town FC

42%

Buxton FC or Merthyr Town FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Buxton FC39% Draw49% Merthyr Town FC12%

Actual: Buxton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

15.2%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

12.2%

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

8.7%

3 – 0

6.6%

0 – 1

5.9%

3 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

3.7%

2 – 2

3.1%

4 – 0

2.7%

0 – 2

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Buxton FC

Handicap	Buxton FC covers	Push	Merthyr Town FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	18%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	26%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	10%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Buxton FC keeps clean sheet

50% ✓

Merthyr Town FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.