Thursday , 2 July 2026

Merthyr Town FC vs Truro City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sat 3 Sep 2022 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Merthyr Town FC vs Truro City FCFA Cup .

Head-to-Head

1
Merthyr Town FC 1 games · Avg 7.0 goals Truro City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep Truro City FC H 5–2 W
04 Sep Hamworthy United FC H 0–0 D
21 Sep Weston-super-Mare AFC A 1–2 L
07 Sep Plymouth Parkway FC A 1–0 W
22 Sep Winchester City FC H 1–4 L
08 Sep Melksham Town FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep Merthyr Town FC A 2–5 L
04 Sep Exmouth Town FC H 0–0 D
13 Oct Taunton Town FC A 2–4 L
03 Oct Hungerford Town FC H 4–0 W
22 Sep Tadley Calleva FC A 1–0 W
21 Sep Hereford FC A 2–5 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Merthyr Town FC Lineups

Truro City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
2.61 Merthyr Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Truro City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Merthyr Town FC59% Draw20% Truro City FC21%
Actual: Merthyr Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Merthyr Town FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Truro City FC
41%
Merthyr Town FC or Truro City FC
80%

Half-Time Result

Merthyr Town FC46% Draw36% Truro City FC18%

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Merthyr Town FC

Handicap Merthyr Town FC covers Push Truro City FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 20% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Merthyr Town FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Truro City FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.