Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Rochdale AFC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Tue 20 Oct 2020 · 18:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45+2' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Rochdale AFC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Purkiss
  • Referee Oliver Bickle
  • Referee
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Rochdale AFC H 0–1 L
17 Oct Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–2 L
03 Oct Portsmouth FC H 2–4 L
26 Sep Swindon Town FC A 2–4 L
19 Sep Accrington Stanley FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
17 Oct Hull City AFC H 0–3 L
10 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 1–2 L
03 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 0–2 L
20 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Burton Albion FC welcome Rochdale AFC for this crunch clash at Pirelli Stadium.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stephen Quinn is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Rochdale AFC.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Gavin Bazunu is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burton Albion FC so far.
  • 20' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Rochdale AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Haydon Roberts has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' John-Joe O'Toole has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 35.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Brian Barry-Murphy will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 49' GOAL! Matthew Lund fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 50' Controversy at the stadium! Haydon Roberts argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 55' Tolaji Bola needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' The whistle greets Neal Eardley as he departs to be replaced by Niall Ennis.
  • 68' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burton Albion FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 73' Over 73 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Alex Newby as he leaves the pitch. Fabio Tavares steps in for Rochdale AFC.
  • 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' Another change for Rochdale AFC made on 84 minute. Jim McNulty leaves to be changed by Ryan McLaughlin.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Luke Varney. He replaces Ben Fox on 86 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Rochdale AFC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Rochdale AFC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Rochdale AFC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC40% Draw29% Rochdale AFC31%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Rochdale AFC
60%
Burton Albion FC or Rochdale AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC29% Draw48% Rochdale AFC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Rochdale AFC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
26% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.