Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Plymouth Argyle FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–4 L
20 Sep Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–0 D
13 Sep Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Luton Town FC H 0–3 L
23 Aug Stockport County FC A 1–2 L
16 Aug Port Vale FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Burton Albion FC A 4–0 W
20 Sep Peterborough United FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Luton Town FC A 3–2 W
06 Sep Stockport County FC H 4–2 W
30 Aug Cardiff City FC A 0–4 L
23 Aug Blackpool FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC Plymouth Argyle FC
#17 Position #8
54 Points 73
46 Played 46
13 / 15 / 18 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 17
50 Scored 75
60 Conceded 63
-10 GD +12
1.17 PPG 1.59
28% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Plymouth Argyle FC are 8th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Plymouth Argyle FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 56% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC21% Draw25% Plymouth Argyle FC54%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
79%
Burton Albion FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC16% Draw43% Plymouth Argyle FC41%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 23% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
15%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.