Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 16 Apr 2024 · 18:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,020 HT 45' · FT 45'
Steve Seddon 45+4' 1–0
1–1 51' Matty Taylor
1–2 71' Curtis Davies

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Cheltenham Town FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Lisa Rashid

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Stevenage FC A 2–1 W
06 Apr Oxford United FC H 0–4 L
01 Apr Barnsley FC H 1–3 L
29 Mar Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
23 Mar Port Vale FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
13 Apr Bristol Rovers FC H 1–3 L
09 Apr Carlisle United FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Leyton Orient FC A 1–3 L
01 Apr Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Fleetwood Town FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Burton Albion FC is hosting Cheltenham Town FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Sweeney suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Tom Bradbury has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
  • 19' Joe Nuttall has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aidan Keena on 19 minute.
  • 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jasper Moon on 34.
  • 35' The whistle greets Tom Hamer as he departs to be replaced by Steve Seddon.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Another change for Cheltenham Town FC made on 46 minute. Tom Bradbury leaves to be changed by Jordan Thomas.
  • 49' What a strike from Steve Seddon! The score is 1-0.
  • 50' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 50.
  • 51' Goal! Matty Taylor scores his 7 goal in 58 matches.
  • 56' Sam Hughes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 57' The whistle greets Rekeem Harper as he departs to be replaced by Bobby Kamwa.
  • 62' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Toto Nsiala departs to be replaced by Mustapha Carayol.
  • 67' It looks like no one’s ball. Cheltenham Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 71' What a strike from Curtis Davies! The score is 1-2.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 81' Cheltenham Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 82' James Olayinka is replacing Matty Taylor for the Cheltenham Town FC side.
  • 84' Will Ferry is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 86' Burton Albion FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' Ben Williams has so much to prove this time. He replaces Will Ferry on 87 minute.
  • With this win, Cheltenham Town FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Cheltenham Town FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC32% Draw30% Cheltenham Town FC38%
Actual: Cheltenham Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
68%
Burton Albion FC or Cheltenham Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC22% Draw49% Cheltenham Town FC29%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.