Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brazil vs Japan, Worldcup 2026 LAST 32

FIFA World Cup · 2026
2 – 1
Full Time
Mon 29 Jun 2026 · 17:00 UTC NRG Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 29' Kaishu Sano
Casemiro 56' 1–1
Martinelli 90+6' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Brazil vs Japan — Worldcup at NRG Stadium.

  • Brazil 3 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
  • Japan 3 games · 5 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni
5 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Brazil 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Japan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Japan H 2–1 W
24 Jun Scotland A 3–0 W
20 Jun Haiti H 3–0 W
13 Jun Morocco H 1–1 D
09 Dec Croatia A 3–5 L
05 Dec South Korea H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Brazil A 1–2 L
25 Jun Sweden H 1–1 D
21 Jun Tunisia A 4–0 W
14 Jun Netherlands A 2–2 D
05 Dec Croatia H 2–4 L
01 Dec Spain H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Brazil Japan
#9 Position #22
7 Points 5
3 Played 3
2 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 0
7 Scored 7
1 Conceded 3
+6 GD +4
2.33 PPG 1.67
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Brazil this season
25% Clean Sheets
Japan this season

Brazil are 9th (7 pts). Japan are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brazil
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Japan
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brazil
Vinicius Junior 4 G 1 A
Matheus Cunha 3 G
Japan
Ayase Ueda 2 G 1 A
Daichi Kamada 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Brazil have kicked off against Japan. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Paqueta made 389 appearances and scored 71 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Brazil are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Japan backline.
  • 12' That is a card for Japan. Kaishu Sano will be fuming at that decision.
  • 14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Casemiro on 14.
  • 19' Brazil is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 24' The 27-year-old Hiroki Ito has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 29' Kaishu Sano adds to his 1 season tally! Japan lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Brazil and Japan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keito Nakamura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Daichi Kamada. He receives a card.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Lucas Paqueta as he leaves the pitch. Endrick steps in for Brazil.
  • 48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Danilo Luiz da Silva on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Brazil have won 59 goals from 31 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' Goal! Casemiro scores his 41 goal in 548 matches.
  • 61' Japan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Martinelli. He replaces Matheus Cunha on 66 minute.
  • 71' Brazil looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Casemiro scoring 1 goals.
  • 76' It’s high time Hajime Moriyasu made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 81' Brazil seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' Japan receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 89' Daichi Kamada needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • Brazil celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Brazil xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Japan xG
I would bet for: Brazil to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brazil58% Draw24% Japan18%
Actual: Brazil win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Brazil or Draw
82%
Draw or Japan
42%
Brazil or Japan
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brazil42% Draw44% Japan14%
Actual: Japan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Brazil

Handicap Brazil covers Push Japan covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Brazil keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Japan keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.