Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Mark Ryder (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Feb | Crawley Town FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 01 Feb | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Cambridge United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bolton Wanderers FC to score. At the same time, Birmingham City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Bolton Wanderers FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jordi Osei-Tutu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Birmingham City FC.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 23' Against the run of play, Emil Hansson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 28' It’s high time Steven Schumacher made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 33' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steven Schumacher will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' John McAtee has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Taylor Gardner-Hickman on 48.
- 49' A stunning finish from George Thomason — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' A moment of madness from John McAtee on 53 minutes earns him a card. Bolton Wanderers FC will be frustrated.
- 58' Seung-Ho Paik, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 61' Aaron Morley was booked on 61.
- 66' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 67' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jay Stansfield is hanging Kieran Dowell on the field on 67 minute.
- 68' Lukas Jutkiewicz gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Alfie May and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Joel Randall is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlos Mendes Gomes at the 69 minute mark.
- 71' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Aaron Collins makes it 3-1.
- 76' Birmingham City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 81' Krystian Bielik has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoki Iwata on 81 minute.
- 84' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. John McAtee is withdrawn and Klaidi Lolos gets his opportunity.
- 89' Birmingham City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Chris Forino-Joseph on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from Bolton Wanderers FC — Jay Matete on, Aaron Morley off on 90 minutes.
- Bolton Wanderers FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Aaron Morley ↓ Jay Matete 90'
-
45
John McAtee ↓ Klaidi Lolos 84'
- 19
- 7
- 18
- 20
- 14
- 6
-
4
George Thomason ↓ Josh Sheehan 90'
- 21
- 12
Bench
- 1
-
8
Josh Sheehan ↑ 90'
-
31
Joel Randall ↑ 69'
-
28
Jay Matete ↑ 90'
- 23
-
17
Klaidi Lolos ↑ 84'
- 3
Coach
Steven Schumacher
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
30
Kieran Dowell ↓ Jay Stansfield 67'
- 25
- 45
-
9
Alfie May ↓ Lukas Jutkiewicz 68'
- 7
-
24
Tomoki Iwata ↓ Krystian Bielik 81'
- 20
- 4
- 19
- 18
- 13
Bench
- 31
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 68'
-
6
Krystian Bielik ↑ 81'
- 23
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↑ 67'
- 26
- 48
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jay Stansfield | 1 |
| John McAtee | 1 |
| Aaron Collins | 1 |
| George Thomason | 1 |
| Emil Hansson | 1 |
| Will Buckley | 1 |
| Will Buckley | 1 |
| Callum Connolly | 1 |
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2025-03-04
Bolton Wanderers FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-03-01
Wrexham AFC
0–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2025-02-22
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Leyton Orient FC
W
2025-02-15
Shrewsbury Town FC
2–3
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2025-02-08
Bolton Wanderers FC
4–3
Crawley Town FC
W
2025-02-01
Reading FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-03-04
Bolton Wanderers FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-03-01
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Wycombe Wanderers FC
W
2025-02-25
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
2025-02-22
Reading FC
0–0
Birmingham City FC
D
2025-02-15
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Charlton Athletic FC
W
2025-02-11
Birmingham City FC
4–0
Cambridge United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bolton Wanderers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
47%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Birmingham City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.