Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Bolton Wanderers FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Birmingham City FC
Tue 4 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 23,023 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Emil Hansson
John McAtee 39' 1–1
George Thomason 49' 2–1
Aaron Collins 71' 3–1
Y 48' Taylor Gardner-Hickman
John McAtee 53' Y
Aaron Morley 61' Y
Chris Forino-Joseph 90' Y
George Johnston 90' Y
Jordi Osei-Tutu 90' Y
Y 90' Luke Harris
Y 90' Christoph Klarer

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Mark Ryder (England)
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Huddersfield Town AFC 14 29
2 Stockport County FC 15 29
3 Oxford United FC 13 26
4 Luton Town FC 14 24
5 Sheffield Wednesday FC 14 23
6 Plymouth Argyle FC 15 23
7 Reading FC 15 22
8 Bradford City AFC 13 22
9 Milton Keynes Dons FC 14 21
10 Cambridge United FC 14 21
11 Leicester City FC 13 19
12 Mansfield Town FC 13 19
13 Wycombe Wanderers FC 13 18
14 Leyton Orient FC 13 17
15 Burton Albion FC 15 17
16 Stevenage FC 12 16
17 AFC Wimbledon 14 16
18 Notts County FC 12 14
19 Wigan Athletic FC 15 14
20 Blackpool FC 13 12
21 Doncaster Rovers FC 13 12
22 Peterborough United FC 13 10
23 Barnsley FC 13 9
24 Bromley FC 13 9

Head-to-Head

3
1
Bolton Wanderers FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Birmingham City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-04 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC 2024-10-22 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Bolton Wanderers FC 2019-02-12 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Bolton Wanderers FC 2018-08-22 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Bolton Wanderers FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
01 Mar Wrexham AFC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Feb Crawley Town FC H 4–3 W
01 Feb Reading FC A 0–1 L
Birmingham City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
15 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
11 Feb Cambridge United FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Toughsheet Community Stadium that hosts another battle between Bolton Wanderers FC and Birmingham City FC.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Bolton Wanderers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Birmingham City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 23' A goal from the Sweden international Emil Hansson! He fires home on 23 to make it 0-1!
  • 28' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bolton Wanderers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 38' A quiet spell here at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Birmingham City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 39' John McAtee has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
  • 44' Aaron Collins has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Taylor Gardner-Hickman on 48 minutes.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! George Thomason makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 49.
  • 53' Bolton Wanderers FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 58' Bolton Wanderers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
  • 61' The referee calls foul for Aaron Morley. He receives a card.
  • 66' Kieran Dowell, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' The whistle greets Kieran Dowell as he departs to be replaced by Jay Stansfield.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Alfie May is replaced by Lukas Jutkiewicz.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Bolton Wanderers FC — Joel Randall on, Carlos Mendes Gomes off on 69 minutes.
  • 71' What a moment for Aaron Collins! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bolton Wanderers FC and Birmingham City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 81' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Krystian Bielik is hanging Tomoki Iwata on the field on 81 minute.
  • 84' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 84 minute. John McAtee leaves to be changed by Klaidi Lolos.
  • 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Chris Forino-Joseph.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Jay Matete. He replaces Aaron Morley on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Bolton Wanderers FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steven Schumacher

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Chris Davies

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
John McAtee 1
Aaron Collins 1
George Thomason 1
Emil Hansson 1
Will Buckley 1
Will Buckley 1
Callum Connolly 1
Tomoki Iwata 1

Head to Head

2025-03-04 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC 2024-10-22 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Bolton Wanderers FC 2019-02-12 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Bolton Wanderers FC 2018-08-22 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC

Bolton Wanderers FC Form

2025-03-04 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC W 2025-03-01 Wrexham AFC 0–0 Bolton Wanderers FC D 2025-02-22 Bolton Wanderers FC 2–1 Leyton Orient FC W 2025-02-15 Shrewsbury Town FC 2–3 Bolton Wanderers FC W 2025-02-08 Bolton Wanderers FC 4–3 Crawley Town FC W 2025-02-01 Reading FC 1–0 Bolton Wanderers FC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-03-04 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-03-01 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Wycombe Wanderers FC W 2025-02-25 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Leyton Orient FC W 2025-02-22 Reading FC 0–0 Birmingham City FC D 2025-02-15 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Charlton Athletic FC W 2025-02-11 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Cambridge United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC53% Draw26% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
47%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Birmingham City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC36% Draw46% Birmingham City FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.