Birmingham City FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2021-22

Birmingham City FC

0 – 3

Full Time

Nottingham Forest FC

Sat 2 Oct 2021 · 14:00 UTC St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Lukas Jutkiewicz 32' Y

Y 36' Ryan Yates

Y 59' Max Lowe

Y 67' Lewis Grabban

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Championship at St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium.

Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-02 Birmingham City FC 0–3 Nottingham Forest FC 2021-04-21 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC 2020-12-26 Nottingham Forest FC 0–0 Birmingham City FC 2020-02-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Nottingham Forest FC 2019-08-17 Nottingham Forest FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	Nottingham Forest FC	H	0–3	L
28 Sep	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	0–2	L
25 Sep	Preston North End FC	H	0–0	D
18 Sep	Peterborough United FC	A	0–3	L
15 Sep	Fulham FC	H	1–4	L
10 Sep	Derby County FC	H	2–0	W

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	Birmingham City FC	A	3–0	W
29 Sep	Barnsley FC	A	3–1	W
25 Sep	Millwall FC	H	1–1	D
18 Sep	Huddersfield Town AFC	A	2–0	W
15 Sep	Middlesbrough FC	H	0–2	L
12 Sep	Cardiff City FC	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

0-15

2/1

16-30

6/1

31-45

4/7

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/1

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

August Priske	6 G	1 A
Liam Millar	4 G	3 A
Jay Stansfield	4 G	1 A
Demarai Gray	3 G
Phil Neumann	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Birmingham City FC host Nottingham Forest FC — let the battle begin!
5' Joe Worrall has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
10' Nottingham Forest FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
11' Lewis Grabban doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
16' Philip Zinckernagel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nottingham Forest FC tonight.
21' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
26' Ivan Sunjic, a Bosnia-Herzegovina , has 47 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
29' Ryan Yates does the damage! The net is bulging and Nottingham Forest FC surge ahead!
30' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryan Yates makes no mistake. 0-3!
32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lukas Jutkiewicz.
36' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ryan Yates.
41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maxime Colin, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
46' The home supporters are growing impatient. Birmingham City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
51' Kristian Pedersen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
53' Brilliant from the ! Djed Spence makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 53.
58' Scott Hogan makes way for Chuks Aneke at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
59' The referee has no hesitation. Max Lowe is booked for Nottingham Forest FC — Yellow card on 59.
64' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
67' Lewis Grabban catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 67.
70' Birmingham City FC make a change. Ivan Sunjic trudges off to be replaced by Troy Deeney on 70 minutes.
71' James Garner gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Philip Zinckernagel and will look to change the dynamic.
76' Nottingham Forest FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
77' Lyle Taylor gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Lewis Grabban and will look to change the dynamic.
82' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nottingham Forest FC backline.
84' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 84 minute. Brennan Johnson leaves to be changed by Alexander Mighten.
89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Birmingham City FC.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Lee Bowyer

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Lewis Grabban ↓ Lyle Taylor 77'
22
Ryan Yates
8
Jack Colback
3
Tobias Figueiredo
2
Djed Spence
30
Brice Samba
15
Max Lowe
26
Scott McKenna
4
Joe Worrall
20
Brennan Johnson ↓ Alexander Mighten 84'
11
Philip Zinckernagel ↓ James Garner 71'

Bench

Coach Steve Cooper

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Grabban	3
Keinan Davis	2
Che Adams	2
Joe Lolley	2
Ryan Yates	2
Lukas Jutkiewicz	1
Scott McKenna	1
Jota Peleteiro	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2021-10-02 Birmingham City FC 0–3 Nottingham Forest FC L 2021-09-28 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–0 Birmingham City FC L 2021-09-25 Birmingham City FC 0–0 Preston North End FC D 2021-09-18 Peterborough United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2021-09-15 Birmingham City FC 1–4 Fulham FC L 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC W

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2021-10-02 Birmingham City FC 0–3 Nottingham Forest FC W 2021-09-29 Barnsley FC 1–3 Nottingham Forest FC W 2021-09-25 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2021-09-18 Huddersfield Town AFC 0–2 Nottingham Forest FC W 2021-09-15 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Middlesbrough FC L 2021-09-12 Nottingham Forest FC 1–2 Cardiff City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.91 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.59 Nottingham Forest FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC24% Draw28% Nottingham Forest FC48%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.5

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

52%

Draw or Nottingham Forest FC

76%

Birmingham City FC or Nottingham Forest FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC16% Draw48% Nottingham Forest FC36%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

0 – 1

12.1%

0 – 0

10.3%

0 – 2

10.1%

1 – 2

9.1%

1 – 0

6.4%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

5.2%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 2

4.2%

2 – 0

3.3%

2 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	13%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	24%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	16%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.