Saturday , 14 November 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 27,524 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jay Stansfield pen 26' 1–0
Max Crocombe og 56' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Mather
  • Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)
7 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burton Albion FC H 2–0 W
23 Dec Crawley Town FC A 1–0 W
14 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W
07 Dec Barnsley FC A 2–1 W
04 Dec Stockport County FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Blackpool FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
21 Dec Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
14 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Wrexham AFC H 0–1 L
04 Dec Peterborough United FC A 1–0 W
01 Dec Tamworth FC H 3–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Birmingham City FC and Burton Albion FC get this one started.
  • 5' Tomoki Iwata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
  • 10' Tomas Kalinauskas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The travelling Burton Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Mason Bennett is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burton Albion FC so far.
  • 25' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burton Albion FC backline.
  • 26' Jay Stansfield puts Birmingham City FC on the lead.
  • 31' Birmingham City FC currently sit 1 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 36' Keshi Anderson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ciaran Gilligan, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Udoka Malife on 45.
  • 46' Emil Hansson is replacing Keshi Anderson for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 48' Max Crocombe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
  • 53' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' The deadlock is broken! Max Crocombe gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' Tomas Kalinauskas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ciaran Gilligan on 67 minute.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 80' Jay Stansfield makes way for Luke Harris at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
  • 85' Ryan Allsop needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 89' Birmingham City FC make a change. Willum Thor Willumsson trudges off to be replaced by Taylor Gardner-Hickman on 89 minutes.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC61% Draw26% Burton Albion FC13%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
39%
Birmingham City FC or Burton Albion FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC39% Draw51% Burton Albion FC10%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
18%
0 – 0
14.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 27% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.