Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simon Mather
- Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
- Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)
7 games this season
🟨 4.6/game
⚽ 12.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Crawley Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Barnsley FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Dec | Stockport County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Blackpool FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | Exeter City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Leyton Orient FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Wrexham AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Dec | Peterborough United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Tamworth FC | H | 3–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 3 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Birmingham City FC and Burton Albion FC get this one started.
- 5' Tomoki Iwata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
- 10' Tomas Kalinauskas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' The travelling Burton Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Mason Bennett is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burton Albion FC so far.
- 25' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burton Albion FC backline.
- 26' Jay Stansfield puts Birmingham City FC on the lead.
- 31' Birmingham City FC currently sit 1 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 36' Keshi Anderson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ciaran Gilligan, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Udoka Malife on 45.
- 46' Emil Hansson is replacing Keshi Anderson for the Birmingham City FC side.
- 48' Max Crocombe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
- 53' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' The deadlock is broken! Max Crocombe gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 67' Tomas Kalinauskas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ciaran Gilligan on 67 minute.
- 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 80' Jay Stansfield makes way for Luke Harris at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
- 85' Ryan Allsop needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 89' Birmingham City FC make a change. Willum Thor Willumsson trudges off to be replaced by Taylor Gardner-Hickman on 89 minutes.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 6
- 21
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↓ Emil Hansson 46'
- 24
- 17
- 20
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Luke Harris 80'
- 2
- 12
- 18
Bench
- 45
- 9
-
7
Emil Hansson ↑ 46'
- 5
-
19
Taylor Gardner-Hickman ↑ 89'
-
26
Luke Harris ↑ 80'
- 13
Coach
Chris Davies
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 32
- 4
- 6
- 15
- 1
- 18
- 2
- 17
- 25
- 20
- 33
Bench
- 11
- 34
- 13
-
9
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo ↑ 46'
-
7
Tomas Kalinauskas ↑ 67'
- 8
- 19
Coach
Gary Bowyer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jay Stansfield | 2 |
| Alfons Sampsted | 1 |
| Fabio Tavares | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-12-26
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-12-23
Crawley Town FC
0–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2024-12-14
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2024-12-07
Barnsley FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2024-12-04
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Stockport County FC
W
2024-12-01
Blackpool FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
Burton Albion FC Form
2024-12-26
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2024-12-21
Burton Albion FC
1–2
Exeter City FC
L
2024-12-14
Leyton Orient FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
2024-12-07
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Wrexham AFC
L
2024-12-04
Peterborough United FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-12-01
Burton Albion FC
3–4
Tamworth FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
39%
Birmingham City FC or Burton Albion FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Birmingham City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
18%
0 – 0
14.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

