Austria vs Italy, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Austria Lineups
Italy Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Sasa Kalajdzic 1 Matteo Pessina 1 Federico Chiesa 1 Marko Arnautovic 1 Head to Head
Austria Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 40.97 Austria xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.92 Italy xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.89Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 78% 22% ± 2.5 54% 46% ± 3.5 33% 67% ± 4.5 17% 83% Double Chance
Austria or Draw 47%Draw or Italy 78%Austria or Italy 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11.2%0 – 2 10.1%0 – 1 10%1 – 2 9.6%0 – 0 7.3%0 – 3 Actual1 – 3 6.1%2 – 1 4.8%2 – 2 4.7%1 – 0 4.6%2 – 3 3.1%0 – 4 3%Asian Handicap — Austria
Handicap Austria covers Push Italy covers -2.5 2% — 98% -2 2% 5% 94% -1.5 6% — 94% -1 6% 11% 82% -0.5 18% — 82% +0.5 42% — 58% +1 42% 23% 35% +1.5 65% — 35% +2 65% 18% 17% +2.5 83% — 17% Clean Sheet
Austria keeps clean sheet 16% ✓Italy keeps clean sheet 38% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.